It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Wednesday, April 3, 2013

Weather in the Extreme

Extreme weather is supposed to be more frequent and more severe in our day because of the increase of CO2 in our atmosphere which is now at 395ppm. 2012 was supposed to be a very bad year for ‘dirty’ weather.
We are told that below 350ppm CO2 is safe and the weather will not ramp up and wreak so much havoc as it does today. Hence we are asked to reduce our ‘carbon’ footprint.

In 1957 CO2 was below 315ppm.

What kind of weather world was 1957? The people alive at that time experienced blizzards in the US, heat waves in Argentina, an Arctic ‘heat wave’,  forest fires in Long Island, floods in Dallas, fires and hurricane winds in Sydney, floods, drought and typhoons in China, worst floods in Oklahoma history, extreme weather over the US, deadly torrential rain in Japan, 30 foot drifts in Texas, severe drought in Algeria and Morocco, flash flood in St Louis, deaths from US heat wave, blizzard dumps 2 feet of snow in Wyoming and colorado, flash floods in Kansas, huge fires in Queensland, baseball sized hail in Texas, one of the worst droughts in US history, 200 dead in Philippines flash flood, flood in Las Vegas, Ceylon floods take 250 lives, 339 dead in European heat wave, tornadoes in Missouri kill 28, famine in Indonesia, Hurricane Audrey kills 431 in Texas and Louisiana, Louisiana hit by tropical storm Ester, Hawaii hit by first recorded hurricane, flood in Spain, freak rain in Alice Springs Australia, F5 tornado hits Fargo, North dakota, typhoon Bess hits Japan, several named typhoons rake Asia, four year US drought expands to 29 million acres, heavy rains flood Texas drought area, PO river floods Italy, there were menacing icebergs, wild November weather with tornadoes, floods, snow and rain, scientists were worried about melting ice caps, glaciers and the human contribution to warming (sound familiar?), springlike flood in Quebec in December. Wow, that was a tough year. It wasn’t all fluffy white clouds floating across a blue sky or gentle summer rains watering the flowers. When has it ever been that way?

In 1957 one noted American scientist predicted that NYC would be under water by 2010 - sharks in the subway, yikes! The scientist and the date are different but the prediction is still with us.

Another expert scientist predicted in 1957 world famine by the year 2000. This prediction is still with us but the date has now changed. It is hard to get an alarmist to abandon his prediction. They are always moving the goalposts.

Is this why physicist Richard Feynman said: Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts?

Read all about it. Would you like to return to such wonderful times? Maybe 1956 was better. Supposedly, the world was safer back then and yet they were still worried about melting polar regions, rising sea levels and global famine due to drought. This sounds all too familiar and yet along came the 1960s and 1970s when global cooling was all the rage among scientists. We like our hysteria hot and we like our hysteria cold. It doesn’t matta. All damn same!

It does not take a genius to extend a trend. We all learned to do that in grade five. The true seer is the one who can predict the bend in the trend. Mother Nature is not linear. The IPCC knows this: 

” … In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing
with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the
long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”
From the 3rd IPCC report, Section 14.2 “The Climate System”, page 774.

We are all familiar with the types of weather that occurred in 1957. We experience the same type of events today. Does this not raise the obvious point that if extreme weather events occurred at ‘safe’ levels of CO2 and also at the higher levels of today then CO2 has nothing to do with it?

Mother Nature has exonerated CO2 of all blame for climate change. We owe CO2 an apology. Now we just have to wait for the CAGW alarmists to catch up and get with the program of adapting to a climate that changes continuously. This will require them to overcome their addiction to apocalyptic anxiety.

But wait a minute you say. Isn’t the bad weather more frequent and severe now than in the past because of our human induced emissions of CO2? We continue to hear this in the media but the data do not support such a view. In fact as CO2 has been rapidly increasing in the atmosphere severe weather has been in a downtrend.

Almost everything you have heard about extreme weather being more extreme is extremely wrong.

CO2 is not guilty.

As University of London professor emeritus Philip Stott has noted: “The fundamental point has always been this. Climate change is governed by hundreds of factors, or variables, and the very idea that we can manage climate change predictably by understanding and manipulating at the margins one politically-selected factor (CO2), is as misguided as it gets.”

Our misanthropic miscreants in the Ministry of Misinformation will not be dissuaded by the truth. They are guided by an Agenda(21). They will carry the farce of CAGW as far as they can in the service of this agenda.

Agenda 21 is a refuge for control freaks. Put down that plastic bag!


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