It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Monday, March 3, 2014

Thanks for the Confirmation

While reading comments on various articles put out by the sympathetic CAGW MSM one wanker will always challenge a skeptic to give a reference for the fact that was quoted. The claim is always not amenable to the CAGW meme. Often the claim is that the global mean temperature stopped rising 15+ years ago despite the rapid increase in CO2 in the atmosphere during that time.

The MSM has carried stories about this ‘pause’ or hiatus’ in the warming and asked CAGW scientists for an explanation. So far at least 10 have been offered. The offerings are interesting because they affirm the existence of the lack of warming for 15+ years. It is now acknowledged by both ‘sides’ to be real. Otherwise there is nothing to offer an explanation for.

The first seven offered include: 1) Low Solar Activity; 2) Oceans Ate Warming; 3) Chinese Coal Use; 4) Montreal Protocol; 5) Readjusted past temps to claim ‘pause’ never existed 6) Volcanoes 7) Decline in Water Vapor.  Pacific Trade Wind strengthening is #8. Google will help you verify this summary.

The 10 explanations indicate that the science is not settled and the experts do not agree. Do they have any idea what they are talking about? So much for consensus. Since no one explanation is a clear front runner the debate has just begun. And further since the global climate models did not anticipate the bend in the runway they have fallen off the catwalk and been discredited by Mother Nature. CO2 is not the superpower heat trapping gas it has been made out to be. It turns out that Mother Nature is a CAGW DENIER!!!

How ironic!

The settled science is in a state of chaos just like the atmosphere it seeks to understand. The global climate models couldn’t predict ‘the pause’ relieving CO2 of its starring role in the climate drama and replacing it with what? Perhaps a more NATURAL cause?

And then along comes Miskolczi  with yet another reason to explain the pause. It will be no surprise to him since his theory predicts a plateau. It only takes one who is correct to blow the CAGW meme to pieces.




Significance of the Pause

Mother Nature stopped raising the global mean temperature 17 plus years ago. CAGW alarmists call it a ‘pause’ as this unexpected state of affairs cannot alter their dedication to the man made climate change meme. Alarmists cling to their belief that the warming will continue soon. Skeptics point out that the global climate models failed to anticipate this state of affairs and that this means that both the models and the theory upon which they were based are bogus. Inappropriately, CO2 has been given the starring role in the climate drama since it is believed to be a powerful heat trapping GreenHouse Gas(GHG).
Seven ‘explanations’ for the pause were quickly brought forward by those trying to defend the CAGW meme against skeptical microscopes.
Now there are 8.
And as we have learned to expect this paper is the exact opposite of what was found seven years ago as was pointed out over at Wattsupwiththat.com. Strong winds/weak winds: do we really know which, if either, is the correct view? Among the convinced this uncertainty is called the ‘settled science’.
The minute anyone offers explanations for the ‘pause’ they are admitting both the existence of the pause and that there is something unexpected to be explained. If factors other than CO2 must be considered to explain the ‘pause’ then the assumed high sensitivity of the climate to changes in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere becomes suspect.
This means that whatever has contributed to the pause, whether it be one or more factors, that those factors are capable of overwhelming whatever increase to warming that CO2 might be contributing.
It also means that the theory upon which the global climate models arrive at their apocalyptic future scenarios is incorrect.
This would suggest that the science is not settled, the debate is not over and the consensus is wrong.
It is still correct to say that we do not understand how the climate functions. CO2 may play a part but if it does it is in a much more limited role than heretofore assumed. Perhaps it should be assigned a bit part in the climate drama or not be included in the cast at all.
It turns out that we have spent billions of dollars reacting to a an imaginary crisis because we chose to believe that there was a consensus and that the consensus was correct. We failed to listen to dissenting voices and missed the real truth. How silly we were. Future generations will look back and marvel at how we managed to dupe ourselves.
For those who still cling to the CAGW meme Mother Nature has elevated her finger in acknowledgement of their intransigence in the face of real world evidence.The global climate models have fallen off the runway and lie in tears at the tears in their computer code. The CAGW meme has collapsed and revealed our continued anemic understanding of how the climate actually functions.
This pretty much exposes the man made global warming narrative as a man made delusion. Alarmists tricked themselves into believing a theory that served their political agenda to increase government control over natural resources. Shall we leave the alarmists in Wonderland? They do seem happy there.
Alarmists have created an insulated Wonderland in which they reassure each other that there is a consensus the science is settled and on their side and it is time to act to save the world. Alarmists have created their own greenhouse and trapped themselves inside with their own hot air .No wonder they are uncomfortable.



Well, well, well, explaining the 'pause'

Alarmists had suspicions all along that they were wrong. Skeptics are now being vindicated as alarmists desperately search for the missing heat.

What if climate change appears to be just mainly a multidecadal natural fluctuation? They'll kill us probably...[Via Barry Woods; Tommy Wills, Swansea University to the mailing list for tree-ring data forum ITRDB, 28 Mar 2007]






'It argues that not only could the current hiatus in the warming be due to natural causes: so also could the rapidity of the warming from the 1970s until the late 1990s.'





So much so apparently that the oceans can overwhelm any contribution from CO2.

Somehow the heat trapping gas CO2 that puts the ‘atmosphere on steroids’  was unable to keep the Pacific warm. Is this more evidence that CO2 is not the thermostat controlling our climate?

Do we owe CO2 an apology?

More well, well, well from the recent IPCC AR5 WGI. What do we find in Chapter 2 on weather extremes?  They can’t find any patterns emerging that would indicate that CO2 is making the weather worse. So much for the ‘supercharged atmosphere on steroids’ description!


And now there are ten....



Update Feb. 28, 2014: Der Spiegel On 15-Year Pause: ‘Biggest Mystery In Climate Science’:Climate models had never expected the pause: Only 3 of 114 climate simulations were able to reproduce the trend of the past years, the IPCC concludes in its latest report. The reason for the deviation between models and observations is unclear.’

And the beat goes on. Isn’t it embarrassing when the climate models of the ‘settled science’ can’t negotiate the curve that Mother Nature put in their path and they fall off the runway? Billions wasted on the crime of the century. Politicians heeded the wrong scientists. How do we prevent such descent into pseudo-science in the future? Our resources are precious. They should not be wasted chasing a phantom of the atmosphere.


Tuesday, February 18, 2014

End Times?

'Global warming': 'Scientists call this the biggest threat of all. Extreme weather, increased droughts, redistribution of diseases, submerged low-lying areas ... future generations might live on a very nasty planet.'

We already live on a very nasty planet. An acquaintance with our planet’s weather history should convince anyone of that. In addition to extreme weather earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis, pestilence and disease can be added to the list of phenomena that make our world somewhat inhospitable. Our children and grandchildren will know nothing different. Contrary to belief of those in Wonderland we do not control any of it. But our technology will continue to develop to help us adapt to the worst of these natural phenomena.

And which scientists are we talking about? The ones who continually get their predictions wrong? We should be so lucky as to experience ‘end times’ for these WAGs. Fear mongering that continually fails to manifest is like having our allowance promised week after week without delivery. Soon we ignore the liar and go on about the business of living a normal life.

His credibility and integrity are destroyed in our eyes and his agenda becomes transparent if the scare tactics continue. Science itself takes a hit and is viewed with suspicion as new pronouncements are played before the public. Take, for example, the climate alarmist scientists....please!!

Their predictions and warnings are notable for their failure to make an appearance in the climate drama running in their own minds. The stage is barren waiting for the entrance of Miss Calamity.

The sea ice in the Arctic will completely disappear in summer 2013. One WAG was made by a SIerra Club of Canada scientist a scant 6 months before the summer minimum and he got it wrong. But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

As CO2 has increased unabated in our atmosphere temperatures were supposed to continue to rise not take a sabbatical from their upward movement for 17 years. But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

In a warming world Antarctic sea ice is supposed to decrease not set records for growth every other day. But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

When the experts at NOAA predict an active hurricane season in the Atlantic basin in 2013 it would be nice to have some confidence that they know whereof they speak. When we get but two hurricanes that disturb some fish before they fade away please excuse us if we ignore their best guesses next season. But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

When they run their global climate models on the latest and greatest computers in the world should we not expect some accuracy for our money? But what we get is a mismatch between their Wonderland world of simulation and Mother Nature from the vast majority of scenarios. The models failed to negotiate the curve that Mother Nature inserted in the runway. The models fell off the catwalk and lay in tears at the tears in their computer code. But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

Sea level is supposed to be rising catastrophically due to the melting of the ice caps that isn’t happening. We recently learn that the Antarctic continent has been cooling for the last 35 years and that Greenland has been cooling for 70 years. Not a lot of melting going on in the polar regions. But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

Climate alarmist scientists are painting a picture of the world and none of their portrait resembles reality. They want us to be afraid of a world of natural variability as if it is something new and leading toward an apocalypse. And yet their ability to foretell any of it is wanton. But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

They claim we are living in a dangerously warming world and Mother Nature dumps snow in Cairo, Amman, Saudi Arabia, Israel and Australia in their summer. In a warming world snow was supposed to become ‘a thing of the past’ as CO2 continues to increase unabated in the atmosphere. In December 2012 the snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere was at a record high.But they know what the world’s climate will look like in 2100 if we don’t drastically cut our emissions of CO2. Uh huh. Cue Donna Summer.

They claim the science is settled, there is a consensus and the debate is over. But Mother Nature doesn’t agree and without her on your side you are lost. Mother Nature is giving the finger to the consensus and demonstrating they are wrong. It would be courteous for them to admit their errors and acknowledge that Mother Nature is never wrong. If you can’t model her you don’t know her.

Is good character among climate alarmist scientists a thing of the past like the snow in their Wonderland?

Continued denial by the climate alarmist scientists is delusional. The public has already caught on to the ruse. Climate alarmists lament the decreased coverage of the issue in the mainstream media. More scientists who don’t share the calamitous view of climate change being promoted by a self interested few are speaking out.

Who loves a climate crisis or any other crisis of man made global proportions for that matter?

Let us introduce the players.

Climate scientists receive money for their research. If climate change is determined to be of natural causes the research funding dries up. Politicians won’t fund a non-problem.

The MSM love a scare story. It drives up viewership and that translates into increased advertising revenues.

Politicians love to ride to the rescue and consolidate more power in their hands as they implement policies to alleviate a problem. They can throw contracts and other pecuniary bones at their favorite constituents (ones who fund their election campaigns) which can only help further their public life ambitions.

These guys are obvious beneficiaries of any kind of crisis. But there are a couple of other players that can also benefit from a perceived crisis - real or not. Ideologues and competitors.

Club of Rome: "In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill....All these dangers are caused by human intervention....and thus the “real enemy, then, is humanity itself....believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is “a real one or….one invented for the purpose."

People who want to wrest control over resources and the means of production can use a perceived crisis - real or not - as a pathway to the implementation of their agenda. And you thought Pinky and the Brain were cartoon characters. Nope, they exist in the real world and really do want to take over the planet.

Competitors can also seize the opportunity to denigrate the competition and appear to be good guys with the public interest at heart all the while benefiting from the destruction of their rivals. Think coal and natural gas. If coal is demonized in the public mind - real demon or not - natural gas benefits by contributing to those who oppose coal. With coal out of the way demand will move to natural gas. Coal companies get poorer and natural gas companies get richer.

Let us pretend the End Times are upon us even though we know it isn’t true. There are beneficiaries to maintaining that scare.

But people are not that dumb. We have learned to suspect self interest in advocacy. Until there is a separation of State and Economy as we have with State and Religion there will always be those who will use the government as a personal thug to further their own aims be they economic gain or political power. Do we want our government to have the powers of a thug or be limited to the role of a referee in economic affairs? Right now we have a thug.

Contrary to popular belief among climate alarmists Mother Nature remains the Master Chef when it comes to cooking up extreme recipes for the climate we face on a daily basis and CO2 is not an ingredient that she uses for her tasteless concoctions.

CO2 is an ingredient that is integral in trace amounts to the recipe of life on Earth.

CO2 is green. CO2 has been exhaled during the creation of this post. No living thing was harmed. Some even liked it.


Return to a Stable Climate

To what year would you like to return?

Can anyone describe a time when the weather around the world was stable?

Can we go back into the archives of newspapers (thanks Google and Trove) and find a period of time when the skies contained nothing but fluffy white clouds and gentle summer rain? Nothing but lightly falling snow and White Christmases?

Anyone?

People of the past expressed the same weather worries that we face today. Their headlines were not much different than those that we see. They thought the weather was ‘crazy’ too.

Things are always worse than they seem.






There is nothing new under the sun. We have seen it all before. Somehow we survive.


Green Hotel Chain


“We have made many small adjustments such as changing to more energy-friendly sources when it comes to light bulbs, heating centrals, guest amenities, groceries and other items and always choose as green as possible when introducing new products. We bought electric cars for our guests to rent, and we have charging stations at Hotel Kong Arthur for guests arriving by electric car.’

Nothing wrong with keeping costs down by being energy efficient. Reducing expenses is always good business practice. Pursuing her green dream has expanded Kirsten’s circle of friends.

“being sustainable has had a great impact on me personally. These efforts have expanded my network. Suddenly, I was having dinner with Nobel Pease(sic) Prize winner Muhammad Yunus.”

Perhaps she should have dinner with Mother Nature and learn that MN stopped raising the global mean temperature 17 years ago. Mother Nature has already saved the world from CAGW.





Climate Change Fiction

Announcer: Tonight’s Headline: apparently the globe has stopped warming as scientists at the UK MET report that the HADCRUT temperature dataset has shown no statistically significant warming for the last 17+ years. Story at 11.

A review of the other 4 temperature datasets also report a pause in the warming of the planet even as the amounts of CO2 being released into the air continue unabated. Comments from politicians express relief that the crisis is over and that they do not have to spend the trillions of dollars that would have been required to mitigate climate change. The MSM is happy because they can finally report some good news. Scientists are patting each other on the back at their successful gathering and reporting of the data. They have accepted the falsification by Mother Nature of their CAGW theory. Mother Nature has turned out to be a CAGW denier .Members of the green lobby are relieved that the earth is no longer in danger from the ravages of humans. Secretly, they are ecstatic that they no longer have to feel guilty about driving their SUVs. Their angst over their hypocrisy was reaching crisis proportions. Taxpayers are dancing in the streets.

The MSM have now started to report the good news about extreme weather. Severe weather has actually been going down over the last few decades. There are fewer hurricanes, tornadoes, floods and drought. Things keep getting better. Deaths due to extreme weather are way down thanks to our early warning systems which allow people to get out of the way of Nature’s storms.

Stories about the cyclical nature of Arctic warming are beginning to appear in the press as researchers mine the online newspaper archives for the worries of the past.

Skiers are happy that the snowfall has reached the second greatest extent in the Northern Hemisphere right after last year’s(2012) record setting performance. Children can once again look forward to snow days off school.

Happy days are here again!




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