'As meteorologists, we know that chance and chaos dominate the weather. You have to face the fact that chance plays a big role here.'
Well this is close to the recognition of the ‘chaos’ component that made its way into the IPCC Assessment Review in 2001.
” … In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing
with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the
long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”
From the 3rd IPCC report, Section 14.2 “The Climate System”, page 774.
Are we getting closer to an admission of the truth? Is this part of the THIRD step in the grieving process for climate alarmists who must surely be seeing that their pet CO2 centric theory is not holding up very well. That third step would be BARGAINING which follows DENIAL and ANGER . Alarmists are now willing to admit factors other than CO2 can account for what we are observing.
We have no reliable way of knowing the future. We can only guess.
We have no futurebots we can send on ahead to scout it out and report back.
Our global climate models(GCMs) cannot perform that function because of the truth of the above IPCC quote. Besides, the GCMs have been invalidated by the performance of Mother Nature over the last couple of decades.
The record of correct predictions from our experts about the future is pathetic. Experts still haven’t learned the wisdom of Yogi Berra who humorously advised that it is difficult to make predictions especially about the future.
We are far better off directing our attention to current matters like poverty, local famine, disease, potable water etc. that we can actually do something about rather than wasting our time and precious resources pandering to someone’s foolish fears.
No comments:
Post a Comment