It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Thursday, August 9, 2012

Pop Goes the Grave Spell

Over at Climate Realists,  in a guest post, Carl Brehmer has penned " The “Greenhouse Effect” and Droughts are Mutually Exclusive". This short essay destroys the spell cast by the doomsayers who believe in catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW). Alarmists would have us believe that severe weather is proof of CAGW and that if we do not lower our emissions of CO2 immediately the world will become an oven that will cook human fricassee. According to warmists we are destroying our world and ourselves with our pursuit of unchecked growth and consumption. Governments need to act to curtail this wonton depletion of our resources. They blame CO2 emitted via the burning of fossil fuels for this damage.

But, as the article above suggests, alarmists have become trapped in their own hyperbole and missed the simple science that contradicts their misanthropic view of the world. Carl Brehmer succinctly summarizes the dissonance between drought that we are currently experiencing in parts of North America in the summer of 2012 and the necessity for water vapor and other greenhouse gases like CO2, a trace gas essential for life on Earth, to be present in the atmosphere in order for them to be blamed for the arid conditions.

The point is, arid means a dearth of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. He points out the diurnal temperature contrasts in the desert between day and night are larger than those in more humid areas and illustrates this by presenting results for several urban centers that bring demonstrate the temperature differences between more and less humid times in these locations. Have a read.

In fact, he shows that the presence of GHGs moderates the diurnal temperature differences. More humidity means cooler daytime temperatures and no drought. So drought is incompatible with the presence of GHGs. To spell it right out: GHGs cannot cause drought. Alarmist research is sometimes not the best.

It turns out that the weather is behaving as it always has and that the grave spell that global warming alarmists have cast upon the evil human race is without merit. The popping sound you hear is the bubble of CAGW bursting in air.

Alarmists like to talk about how it is a crime against humanity to deny CAGW. Like a boomerang, that accusation comes back to smack them upside the head as they try to associate drought with CO2 induced global warming. To deny that impossibility is akin to a belief in a flat earth.

Can we stop burning food to power our vehicles now? Isn't that a crime against humanity?

More Settled Science

Time magazine reported in 1975 that global cooling was the cause of drought, floods, dry spells and heatwaves.

This year, 2012, we are told the exact opposite. It is global warming that is the cause of drought, floods, dry spells and heatwaves.

While scientists are trying to settle that one, one thing has become known: GreenHouse Gases (GHGs) like H2O and CO2 are not responsible for droughts.

Whatever you do don't blame CO2.




Arctic Fun

Marc Marano over at ClimateDepot.com has been keeping tabs on recent human exploits in the Arctic. Many of these expeditions have been initiated by those who are convinced that Arctic Sea Ice and glaciers and ice sheets are melting due to Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW). Have a look.

Two more missions are currently in the news. It is interesting to witness how they have begun.

Both were hemmed in by Arctic Ice which is supposed to disappear by the summer of 2012.

Arctic Row team could be iced in for ten days

Coast Guard helps students in ice-bound Iqaluit reach ship

Warmist 'Students on Ice' trip severely hampered by ice as much as five meters thick -- On trip to 'learn first-hand about climate change, seeing it with our own eyes'
 
Only A Few Days Left For The Jay Zwally 2012 Ice-Free Arctic


Fears that the Arctic was melting and sea levels would rise were a concern between 1900 and 1940.

How about this from the 1940s:
 
Shock News : Arctic Warmed Six Degrees – Ice Lost Half Its Thickness 

or this from 1923

1923 : Radical Climate Change And Unprecedented Heat Leading To An Ice-Free Arctic

Still here! Still waiting for the meltdown!

In the past during the Medieval Warm Period Arctic temperatures in some locations were much higher than they are now. 

The Arctic is resilient. Perhaps climate change in the Arctic as elsewhere is cyclical.

The hysteria around the Arctic is another example of doomsday fears peddled by scientists who are encouraged to report dire conditions in order to keep the research funding flowing. Politicians and the media love a good scare story. What they have failed to realize is that they are producing a spoof like Scary Movie where everyone laughs at the inanities instead of moistening their underwear from fear.

Where's the BEEF? was a successful commercial because it made is point with humour.

Where's the GLOBAL in global warming also points out the obvious when people realize that when it is hot in the US mid west it is cold in Alaska. Kinda takes the GLOBAL outta global warming don't it?

Hot here; cold there

Heat distribution not so rare.








Wednesday, August 8, 2012

Snow In South Africa

Snow In South Africa has been delighting South Africans during their winter of 2012. While the N. Hemisphere has been sweltering in heat waves this summer the southern hemisphere has been experiencing below normal temperatures. The atmosphere distributes its heat unevenly but if it gets hotter in one area it must get colder in another because there is only so much heat coming from the sun. The atmosphere cannot manufacture heat. It can only redistribute. It is conservation of energy in operation.

So as the US bakes South Africa gets the cold and the snow and more snow.

Those heat trapping CO2 molecules have rushed over to South Africa and produced - snow?
They are working well. 

From R.A. Pielke Sr.:
the coldest spot on the globe in July was the South Pole, where winter temperatures averaged 4.5 C (8.1 degrees F) colder than normal. If it isn’t usually the coldest place on Earth in July, seeing temperatures during the deepest part of the Antarctic winter that much colder than normal might move the South Pole into that spot. (Links added).

The South Pole is cooling. Antarctica is not warming. It is cooling.

Nothing out of the ordinary is happening.

Hot here; cold there.

Heat distribution not so rare.

Nothing to do

With plant fertilizer CO2.





Bad Weather Leads to Bad Science

Public Figure, Michael Mann and James Hansen of NASA are giving science a bad name. They are trying to link any instance of bad weather with catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW). Via a recent media blitz they are determined to have the public believe that human emissions of carbon dioxide, a trace gas essential for life on earth is evil incarnate. Human induced CO2 released from its abode by burning fossil fuels is the witch responsible for bad weather, any bad weather. As if bad weather never occurred before humans discovered oil. They say that this year's bad weather would not have happened without CAGW.

Got a drought the cause is CO2 no doubt.

Got a flood must be CO2 from a Bud.

Got a hurricane must be CO2 from a plane.

Got a twister must be from CO2 mister.

Got a fire must be started by an SUV buyer.

There is nothing CO2 can't do to make you blue.

But there is one thing that you can't stop; CO2 is good for any crop.

What evidence has Mann and Hansen got to indict CO2 for the hot?

Not a lot.

Here is Hansen on Hansen in 2006. Flashback 2006: Hansen warned fellow alarmists: 'We don't want the public to hang their hat on a recent storm, recent hurricanes for example, because those will fluctuate from year to year'

Seems his opinion has changed recently. Will the real James Hansen please stand up?
Get ready! Hansen has now decreed all weather caused by humans therefore ---- Thousands of fish die from heat wave as scientist blames climate change

Double M agrees. Michael Mann supports Hansen's claims: 'Given the prescience of Hansen's science, we would be unwise to ignore his latest, more dire warning'

Andrew Weaver concurs: Other warmists give approval to Hansen: The science in Hansen's study is excellent 'and reframes the question,' said Andrew Weaver, of U. of Victoria in B.C.

Reid: Time To Stop Acting Like Climate Change Deniers Have A Valid Point Of View - They Don't 

Fear mongering and doomsday forecasting at its best. Scaring people including politicians, hyping the hyperbole fuels the funding. The MSM loves a good scare. It is healthy for sales and Nielsen ratings. Is that the paradigm of climate science? So, is there a consensus or do some scientists disagree with the conclusion that bad weather can be attributed to CO2.

Here are some papers gathered together by Marc Morano at ClimateDepot.com. "Climate Depot's Morano: 'Global warming activists are desperately seeking to tie any and every weather event to global warming. Rest assured, your SUVs do not cause heavy rain'". The linked list is rather long. Enjoy the dissent. 

Anthony Watts has this to say:
NASA's James Hansen's latest claims dismantled: 'This is nothing but a political ploy from a man who has abandoned any pretext of professionally done science in favor of activism' 

Stephen Goddard at Real Science points out that
Hansen Uses 30 Year Cherry Picked Time Period To Prove That Climate Is The Most Extreme In 10,000 Years
and
'The Godfather' of AGW Challenged: 'It is pure and simple cherry-picking. Had Hansen compared against 1930s he would have seen that recent temperatures have been relatively quite cool'

Steve Goddard has discovered the finger print of man made global warming and it resides at the airport. 

Philip Stott observes:
Flashback: UK Prof. Philip Stott: 'From the Babylon of Gilgamesh to the post-Eden of Noah, every age has viewed climate change cataclysmically, as retribution for human greed and sinfulness'

Prof. Roger Pielke Jr. rips claims: 'Hansen's use of science as a political fulcrum encourages over-the-top claims by scientists and an effort to squelch opposing voices'



NOAA's Martin Hoerling calls Hansen's claims 'flawed scientifically' 

Hoerling: 'The weather patterns responsible for most of today's heat waves would have happened regardless of human-induced climate change' -- Bringing carbon dioxide down to the level Hansen sees as safe 'would not eradicate heat waves'

UN IPCC Scientist Dr. Madhav Khandekar: 'The record books shows that the hottest period of the 20th century was during the 'dirty thirties'





More dissent can be found at C3Headlines.com and at Bread and Butter science.

European severe weather lowest in 100 years, contrary to IPCC predictions

Severe Weather Increase Prediction Due To CO2 Emissions Proven To Be Severely Bogus

Severe Hurricane Incidents At Record Low, Opposite of IPCC Predictions

New Study Finds EPA & IPCC Climate Model Predictions Wrong About More Droughts For Southwest USA

EU Scientists Discover That Modern Severe Weather Events Are Happening Less, Not More As Predicted

Unequivocal & Irrefutable Empirical Research: No Increase In Hurricane Landfall - IPCC's AGW Prediction Fails Test

Predicted Increase In Severe Windstorms From Global Warming Has Not Happened, New Research Shows

New Tropical Cyclone Research From China Reveals Major IPCC Prediction Fail

Another Day, Another Study, Another Failed IPCC Prediction: Modern Global Warming Has Not Caused Increase of Severe Floods 

Severe Cyclones Striking Australia Declines By 60% - Exact Opposite of IPCC Climate Model Predictions 

World's Best Scientific Research Determines Zero Connection Between Global Warming and Hurricanes & Cyclones 

Australian Study Proves Major IPCC Failure: Climate Models Predicted An Increase In Severe Weather - Didn't Happen 

Severe Weather In The Far East & Pacific Regions Has Declined Over The Last 50 Years, Scientists Confirm 

Prediction That Global Warming Causes More Storms Fails Empirical Testing - IPCC Climate Models Wrong 

Central Siberian Forest Fires Have Declined During The Modern Global Warming Era Say Experts

New Research: Experts Determine German Flooding Has Not Increased From Global Warming As Predicted  

Chinese Scientists Find That IPCC Predicted Extreme Rain Events Are Not Happening With Greater Frequency 

IPCC's Flood Predictions Found To Be Without Scientific Merit: Major Flooding Appears To Be Declining, Not Increasing 

Empirical Evidence From Japan Refutes Climate Model Precipitation Predictions

UN & Leftist Politicians Claim Global Warming Has Increased Severe Weather Disasters: That's Not True For Tornados  

A Very Simple Question: Has Huge Human CO2 Increase Caused More Severe Weather? A Simple Answer, Nope 

And on and on it goes. There are many more studies at C3 that dispute the rise in severe weather that Mann and Hansen imagine is happening. Saying it is so don't make it so.

Humans can count and have learned to pass on information from generation to generation. That is called recorded history and it does not support a rise in severe weather observations. If one is trying to link CO2 to severe weather the logical correlation is to associate increasing atmospheric  CO2 concentration with a DECREASE  in severe weather. Things keep getting better.

Or, could it be - deep breath - CO2 has nothing to do with the severity of the weather?

Maybe it is H2O that changes climate. Store it on land. Increase evaporation. Increase rain. Keeps soil moist. Allows grass, plants, trees and crops to grow. Reverses desertification. Increases arable land. Just a thought. And CO2 will aid that new growth.

For scientists like Mann and Hansen to ignore the evidence and try to twist the data into a confirming instance of their personal beliefs is a travesty to both themselves and the truth that they convey to the public. These guys can't be trusted to provide unbiased results to the public or to go where the data lead. They are too dedicated to an agenda which is blinding them to the truth that Nature is clearly presenting to those who choose to observe it.

Severe weather is what Mother Nature has always looked like. And very often she gives us weather to enjoy.



 

 

Sunday, August 5, 2012

Droughtflood

In the summer of 2012 there is a drought in North America. Crops are thirsty, forests catch fire, food prices  rise and it is all because of man-made global warming. This is what global warming looks like we are told by those in the know. Clearly, we must reduce our emissions of CO2 or we will become human fricassee. Fan the hysteria!

So, if the droughts are due to man-made global warming as predicted then the rest of the Northern Hemisphere should also be experiencing drought n'est-ce pas?

Is it?

In the British Isles, site of the 2012 summer Olympics, it has been raining cats and dogs. Well, they invented the phrase!

In Russia there are floods and China has been trying to hide the fact of their floods. Japan got 20 inches of rain in one day.

So, no global drought. And by inference, no global flooding either. There is not one climate on Earth. There are many. Some are drier(desert) and some are wetter (rainforest).

The same thing happens with temperature. If it is hotter than normal in N. America  you can be sure to find areas where it is cooler than normal like Sweden, Amsterdam, Fiji, Washington state, and Alaska. Not to mention that it is winter in the Southern Hemisphere and they are enjoying the cold and snow down there.

Kinda takes the GLOBAL out of global warming doesn't it? Where's the BEEF?

It appears that climate conditions portrayed in the media as GLOBAL, aren't. Does the additional heat trapping CO2 that humans have added to the atmosphere congregate in certain areas? Sometimes the same area that endured drought in one year is inundated the following year. Ask the Aussies. How does the CO2 decide which it will do? Or maybe CO2 has nothing at all to do with it.

The climate of the Earth seems to have a kind of Balance to it. Hot here, cold there. Dry here, wet there. Early cherry blossoms here; late cherry blossoms there. The Earth in Balance. Is that a problem or any different than the climate of the past? It is the way of our world.

Why the hysteria? Could it be for political reasons that have nothing to do with the climate?

"In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill....All these dangers are caused by human intervention....and thus the “real enemy, then, is humanity itself....believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is “a real one or….one invented for the purpose." ~ Club of Rome

We have met the enemy and he is us! ~ Pogo

Ahhhhh! All becomes clear. A ploy for world domination run by misanthropic mice!

Pinky: Gee, Brain, what do you want to do tonight?
Brain: The same thing we do every night, Pinky - try to take over the world!

And when the fear of climate change subsides they will move on to the next great crisis caused by those evil humans. With each new crisis people give up more of their freedom as restrictions, taxes and regulations are passed to deal with the issue. Undaunted they plot on.....

Brain: Come, Mindy, it's time for us to conquer the world.
Mindy: Why?
Brain: By right of superior intelligence, I am best suited to guide the destiny of this planet.
Mindy: Why?
Brain: My empirical powers give me the mandate.
Mindy: Why?
Brain: Because it's something I want to do!!




Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Just as it Came so it shall Pass

One day it is hot and then it is not. While the American Press have been going hysterical over the recent early summer heatwave in the mid-west and eastern states and claiming that it was due to global warming saner heads were pointing out that not all areas of the world were warmer than 'normal'. It is winter in the Southern Hemisphere after all. Kinda takes the GLOBAL out of global warming. Reminds me of the Wendy's commercial: Where's the Beef? Where's the GLOBAL?

In the newspaper archives and temperature records of cities we can find examples of US summer heatwaves which put the recent (June/July 2012) in perspective. 1921, 1934 and 1936 were particularly nasty. And those were years when the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was below Bill McKibben's 'safe' level of 350ppm. So it would seem that the level of CO2 in the atmosphere is irrelevant to heatwaves. They will come and go no mater what level of CO2 presides at the time. Something else is causing the heatwaves.

For those who insist on implicating that invisible trace gas, CO2, that is essential to life on Earth, an explanation of the mechanism by which CO2 causes heatwaves would be an advancement in human knowledge. So how does CO2 work to create heatwaves? We are told that CO2 is a GHG or heat trapping gas. So, did the molecules of CO2 decide to congregate in the US mid west and east for their annual summer convention thus leaving other areas with a dearth of CO2 so that they went cooler than 'normal'? How does CO2 do that? And why Russia two years ago and the US this year? Like the IPCC who schedule its Climate Change conferences in different parts of the world so too does CO2 spread the joy of heat around the globe. Oh no, now where will the CO2 go? Who will get the next heatwave?

If we could only monitor the migration of CO2 in the atmosphere we could predict where the next heatwave will be! Good luck with that!

But, in the real atmosphere, heat here, cool there.  That's the way it works. Look around the world when there is a heatwave or a drought and see if it isn't true. One hemisphere has summer while the other has winter. Who's to say if we had as many thermometers recording temperatures in the Antarctic as we do in the smaller US that there wouldn't be daily record cold temperatures set in the same proportion as we had hot ones set in the US this year. But we don't have those temperature records so we don't know. But it seems likely doesn't it? The South Pole set a record cold temperature in June 2012 of -100.8F. How many other places in Antarctica had record cold at the same time. We don't know. The South Pole temperature has also been trending down for the last 30 years. Kinda takes the GLOBAL out of global warming doesn't it? And how come we didn't have the MSM going ballistic over that?

When the MSM ignore contrary evidence they are advocates and not reporters. They are interested in advancing an agenda or in just being right or not having to admit they are wrong rather than being an impartial bearer of all viewpoints. The truth be damned!

In July there is still lots of snow on Whistler in B.C. There is great skiing on Mt Baker in Washington State in July 2012. Phoenix had its coldest July 4th in 100 years. In July they are still shoveling snow in AnchorageSeattle had its 3rd coldest June on record. Argentina got more snow in two weeks than it usually does all winter. Aren't these unusual 'cold' events newsworthy? Not if you are trying to sell GLOBAL warming cause it kinda takes the GLOBAL out of global warming. It reminds people of the ying and yang of life. The back and forth, the to and fro, the up and down, the more and less. We live in a world of opposites. That applies to the climate as well.

Look around the world even on the same latitude and you will find different climates. Climate change is local or regional.  Even the last ice age was NOT a global phenomenon. We don't need to rearrange our standard of living because some area that got drought last year is getting floods this year. Such a reorganization won't stop the ying and yang. Then what? CO2 has nothing to do with causing severe weather.

Disasters happen and they are always local. And many can be happening in different places all at the same time. Take a look at 1917. When has there been a year when the destructive forces of nature have taken a holiday? We live in a dynamic, ever changing atmosphere that is sometimes uncaring and unforgiving. It's the way it is. It is the planet we live on. We learn to adapt. We're smart that way. Change is what the climate does.

And so it shall pass. Rain is forecast for the corn belt this week Aug 1- Aug 8.

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