It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Saturday, September 21, 2013

Ice Free in the Arctic 2013

So says the Sierra Club of Canada and Secretary of State John Kerry although the Sierra Club hedged their bet with some wiggle room.

Let us hear Balki Bartokomous express himself on the subject of whether this expert prediction will come to pass.

"Well, of course not, don't be ridiculous!"

Balki has an unblemished record of anti-expert predictions. Doomsayers have yet to score.

The experts have been wrong before.






But even if all the sea ice in the Arctic disappears this summer(2013) so what? It has happened in the past and we are still here.

However since the high Arctic (>80N) has been cooling for the last 12 years imminent loss of all sea ice this summer seems quite unlikely. Is it unfair that Balki knew that when he made his famous comment?

Current data indicate that Greenland is not warming and that Alaska is cooling. A peer reviewed study has determined that Greenland was much warmer in the past. The melting ‘scare’ of summer 2012 has been replaced with snow in late July on the Greenland ice cap.

All the fuss about the Arctic getting warmer seems to be incorrect. Every year there is a contest to predict the Arctic ice extent at the end of the summer. Results can be followed here.

This increases my confidence in Balki’s counter prediction.  

Apparently, the CO2 in the Arctic is not good at trapping summer heat as the 2013 winter sea ice has reached levels not seen in a decade. It has almost reached the levels of 1971.

After the record low sea ice extent attained in the summer of 2012 the warmists among us are likely to be disappointed with the summer of 2013.

So what has been happening in the Arctic in 2013? Any need for worry?

Ask these two adventurers who have recently experienced the 2013 state of the Arctic first hand.

“Two French men, Sébastien Roubinet and Vincent Berthet , who set out on a trek to the North Pole in July in a wind catamaran, announced today that they are blocked in the Arctic. A Russian ice-breaker has been dispatched to help them.”

“The goal was to make it to Spitzberg in the Svalbard archipelago in Norway, via the North Pole and observe the state of melting ice that has gone on over the past years.

Or how about chatting with these four Vancouverites who decided to row through the NorthWest Passage this year. Check out their blog for some great pics of grizzlies and muskox.


The CBC had a story about supply barges taking longer to get through the ice to replenish northern communities.

The sea ice has survived the summer melt of 2013. It came in at 5.1 million square kilometers. Who is up for failure in 2014?

Well, wouldn’t you know: it is Al Gore. Good luck with that. Balki will be back next year with his anti-Gore prediction.

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