It is no longer global warming because it isn’t. It is climate change because it does. But not in a way that is scary. Climate models are out of sync with what Mother Nature is doing. As Mother Nature has invalidated prediction after prediction she has invalidated the models. One of the predictions is that there is supposed to be a ‘hot spot’ most easily detectable 8-10 km up in the tropical troposphere. It has never been found. There have been many studies of the data that have been published in the peer reviewed literature but no ‘hot spot’ has ever been found.
The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't.
Kevin Trenberth, National Center For Atmospheric Research, USA
So Kevin Trenberth has redefined the global warming ‘hot spot’ to be a peripatetic area of warmth that will show up somewhere on the planet but is inherently unpredictable. The attempts to save the CAGW theory know no bounds and is taxing the ability of warmists to spin the climate to their advantage.
Hot here; cold there; heat distribution not so rare. When hasn’t it been the case that somewhere in the world, no matter what the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, it will be unusually warm and somewhere else will be unusually cool. Isn’t that what we mean by the Earth in Balance?
But Kevin has forgotten the other side of the story. CO2 is supposed to be trapping the heat and making the whole world warmer. Yet, temperatures are not cooperating. Does CO2 only work in the summer time? Only works part time? Can’t find a full time job? How does CO2 ‘decide’ to trap heat in Russia in 2010, the US midwest in 2012, Britain in 2013? Does it hold a convention of CO2 molecules? Does it vacation in these areas? What turns it on from year to year? And why doesn’t the CO2 in the other parts of the world trap the heat? What is different about the CO2 that exists in the same concentration at the same latitude? Such speculation is nonsense.
Kevin needs a story to shore up the failing CAGW theory. What have they got on you Kevin, that you would sell your scientific soul to support a delusion?
Heat Waves have been a constant occurrence throughout time and CO2 concentrations. This is neither unusual nor catastrophic. It is the way our atmosphere behaves. As the IPCC pointed out in AR3 in 2001:
” … In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing
with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the
long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”
From the 3rd IPCC report, Section 14.2 “The Climate System”, page 774.
This is not news Kevin. Meteorologists can tell you how difficult it is to know what the atmosphere is going to do next. It is pushed and pulled by hundreds of interacting factors
As University of London professor emeritus Philip Stott has noted: “The fundamental point has always been this. Climate change is governed by hundreds of factors, or variables, and the very idea that we can manage climate change predictably by understanding and manipulating at the margins one politically-selected factor (CO2), is as misguided as it gets.”
Mother Nature must be our court of last resort and she has declared herself to be a CAGW denier.
It is a beautiful day in the neighborhood. The truth has come out as we knew it would.
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