It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Friday, December 18, 2015

Laugh of the Day


In service of answering this question and looking for perspectives on climate change beyond the usual focus on controversy, let’s begin by acknowledging a single fact that’s rarely discussed in the media: Climate science is a triumph of human civilization.

Landing on the moon. The development of relativity theory. The discovery of DNA. We rightfully hail these accomplishments as testaments to the creative power of the human imagination. We point to them as the highest achievements of our species, calling them milestones in our collective evolution.

But climate science is no different. It, too, belongs in that short list of epoch making human efforts.

The comments on this one over at WUWT are a hoot.

If Charles McKay were alive today he would honor climate science and pen Chapter 17 in his book Extraordinary Delusions and the Madness of Crowds and call it: Conning A Gullible World1  
Modern warmist CO2 centric climate science has detracted from our understanding of what drives climate. CO2 was given the lead role in our climate drama mistaking a random in tandem increase as causation when it should have been accorded at most a minor role or perhaps, like the phlogiston of fire, been excluded from the cast altogether.

Modern warmist CO2 centric climate science cannot predict squat. It is based on diddled data designed to produce a predetermined desired result that will serve as justification for further political incursions into the businesses of its citizens.

Modern warmist CO2 centric climate science demonized a benign invisible trace gas essential to life on Earth and the modern industrial civilization which gave warmists the electronic tools to condemn it. Could these misanthropes survive without the modern civilisation they condemn?

Modern warmist CO2 centric climate science is a misanthropic example of POGO Politics gone mad.

However, POGO turns out to be not the humans who have built modern industrial civilisation but the human control freaks who have created the imaginary ‘crisis’ in the first place. Modern warmist CO2 centric climate science is a classic case of psychological projection by people who know it and are using it as a propaganda technique to attack the enemy. And who is the enemy? Anyone who suspects the truth that CO2 has nothing to do with global warming or climate change. A good propagandist always wants to get out in front of the opposition in order to discredit what the ‘enemy’ is saying. Propagandists know that repetition of desired ‘sound bites’ along with denigrating those who object are valuable techniques to frustrate the opposition. These are offensive techniques in both senses of the word ‘offensive’ and  propagandists revel in the frustration generated for their opponents. Dissenters must now spend time defending their position rather than mounting an attack on the falsehoods of the propagandists.

If there is one takeaway for the CAGW meme it is to distrust those who claim gloom and doom. They have another motive which should be the focus of MSM discovery and exposure. It is the bigger story. It will be the truth.

"In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill....All these dangers are caused by human intervention....and thus the “real enemy, then, is humanity itself....believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is “a real one or….one invented for the purpose." ~ Club of Rome


The MSM should be looking into that last phrase and the organisation that spawned it.


Why is There More Than One?


And why do they not agree with one another? What do we really know?

Temperature data is not a computer program. Why does it need a version? Is the next version the new and improved data? 30C wasn’t 30C in the past? By what algorithms do they adjust past and present data? Do we not know what today’s temperatures are? We will have to wait a decade to find out the adjusted temps for today? Anyone smell a  rat?

Apparently, the past is malleable, especially if it does not support the global warming hysteria.

Why is there more than one global climate model? Why don’t they agree with one another?

Because the science is settled. Because basic physics.

If scientists cannot agree on what data is correct then the science is definitely NOT settled.

Newsflash from the Mother Nature Climate Network:










Gore Has th Science Behind Him?

Let’s see. An Inconvenient Truth.AIT.






The Reports of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change





Yup, Gore has the science behind him and it is kicking him in the ass.





Thursday, December 17, 2015

Alarmists and Skeptics Agree on Something

                       
Kerry channels John Christy. Amazing! What is the point of COP21 again?
India and China aren’t going to buy into emissions reductions. This should allow Poland, Germany et al to breathe easier.

The fact is that even if every American citizen biked to work, carpooled to school, used only solar panels to power their homes, if we each planted a dozen trees, if we somehow eliminated all of our domestic greenhouse gas emissions, guess what – that still wouldn’t be enough to offset the carbon pollution coming from the rest of the world.
If all the industrial nations went down to zero emissions –- remember what I just said, all the industrial emissions went down to zero emissions -– it wouldn’t be enough, not when more than 65% of the world’s carbon pollution comes from the developing world.



"Even if the United States of America disappeared today – no people, no cars, no factories – the impact would be negligible on whatever the climate does," Christy said. "To me, it is not scientifically justifiable or economically rational that this nation should establish regulations whose only discernible consequence is an increase in economic pain (placed) most directly and harshly on the poorest among us. This happens when the scientific process that allegedly underpins regulations lacks objectivity and transparency."


Gee, perhaps we are making some progress after all.
       

The Last 25 Years

The last 25 years contain all 15 of the warmest years on record. So should they not also demonstrate that temperatures are unequivocal, unprecedented and accelerating?

Let us use the CO2 datasets and the HADCRUT4 V4.4 temperature dataset to test this expectation.

We know that the 1920-1944 period was a time of rising temperatures.

We have experienced a warmer world over the last 25 years from 1990 to 2014.

Here is the data. Datasets in the links.


Range
CO2 Increase



7.4
.427C



45.5
.446C

That represents an increase of over 6 times the amount of CO2 in our contemporary period of CO2 growth compared to the 1920-1944 period. Based on the constant MSM reminders we are not surprised at the rapid CO2 growth in the last 25 years. It is what we expect.

But the temperature results do not resemble what we would expect from the unprecedented and accelerating description that we keep hearing about. An increase of .019C over the earlier decades does not seem sufficient to justify a fear of rising CO2. These two periods of warming are remarkably similar with vastly different increases in CO2. Does that not allow us to question the supposed unequivocal connection between CO2 and temperature? Isn’t this a poor demonstration of the alleged heat trapping superpowers of CO2?

What temperature increase for the 1990-2014 period would cause you worry? Double, triple, quadruple the earlier period?

DISCLAIMER:

Those were the numbers obtained when this post was created. HADCRUT4 goes through revisions and the next update may change the temperature differences slightly. You might want to ask yourself why a DATA dataset would have a version attached to it. DATA is not a computer program whose code is updated with bug fixes and new features.

What Modern Warming Uncovers

As the world warms from its geologically recent experience in the LIA freezer both receding glaciers and melting permafrost uncover relics that prove the world was warmer in the past than it is at present.

As they retreat up valleys and mountains melting glaciers expose trees that once lived at higher elevations. The significance of this for climate change worries must be pointed out to the public. If trees grew at higher elevations in the past the world must have been warmer then than it is now.

Similar discoveries are being made as permafrost melts. Frozen mummies are now being exposed to our warming planet but this immediately raises the question of how and when did the mummies get buried in the permafrost. The obvious conclusion is that the world was even warmer in the past than it is now in order for them to be buried in that ground in the first place.

This tells us that without the aid of human emissions of CO2 the world attained a warmer state that we experience today and there was no tipping point, no runaway global warming. The world can warm without the assistance of CO2 in a flux of natural variability. We must account for this in our attempts to assign blame to CO2, the current star of our climate drama.

If CO2 is not necessary to climate variability then how do we know that our modern warming is not due only to the natural factors that created a warmer world in the past. Without the metrics to explain that warming we have NO BASIS to indict CO2 for our current warming.

In fact, CO2 may be contributing nothing at all to our current warming. How would we know if we can’t assign metrics to previous planet warmings? Were past warmings due to solar variability, differences in cloudiness, volcanic activity, ocean currents, etc. If we don’t know how to assign metrics to these and other factors that can alter the climate then how can we know whether or not they are active and to what extent today?

The uncovering of artifacts of past natural warmings tells us that our current warming is NOT unequivocal or unprecedented. Our modern instrumentation - satellites - corroborated by radiosonde balloons tells us that our modern warming is NOT accelerating.

The story of the melting mummies in the NYT exonerates our CO2 emissions as the perp of modern warming. NYT, we are forever grateful.


Moon Over Ban Ki

“We are living in a world of peril,” Ban tells Mashable, according to ThinkProgress. “This climate change, even if it is not visible, is the worst threat to human beings.”

Emphasis mine.

Now  listen to that great climatologist

If Redford can see it how come Moonie can’t?

Robert doesn’t seem to be aware that ‘Not only is there not increasing trends because of extreme weather, but there are actually either no trends or declining’ Actors are good at imagining things. That is what they do.

Ban Ki must sense the lack of proof for the CO2 centric theory championed by the UN IPCC. He must have his doubts to even make such a statement.

Certainly, the casual observations of climate change by the ordinary Joe have not terrorized them as they rank it last on a list of priorities according the UN’s own poll. .

The invisible and the non-existent look very much alike.

The only place where climate change has been shown to be worrisome to some is in the dangerous man made compute code of the Global Climate Models(GCMs). The GCMs forecast a rising temperature which could attain heights last seen in the Holocene Climatic Optimum 6000-8000 years ago. However, there was no tipping point of runaway global warming at that time. And the warmth of the HCO was reached without the aid of CO2 which was obviously at pre-industrial levels at that time. This simple fact ought to be enough to destroy the CO2 centric theory of Global Warming that persists in the minds of humans today.

But eco-activists are not interested in truth. They have something else on their minds. And this is the real reason for the bogus climate change hysteria.

“No matter if the science is all phony, there are collateral environmental benefits.... climate change [provides] the greatest chance to bring about justice and equality in the world.” ~ Christine Stewart, former Canadian Enviro Minister

“We’ve got to ride the global-warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic policy and environmental policy.” ~ former  Senator Timothy Wirth

"In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill....All these dangers are caused by human intervention....and thus the “real enemy, then, is humanity itself....believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is “a real one or….one invented for the purpose." ~ Club of Rome

Truth does not matter to eco-activists. It is the opportunity to redistribute wealth and gain control over the resources of the world that is attractive to the totalitarians among us.

So, at COP21 Let’s get hysterical, hysterical. We’re gonna get hysterical. We’re into hysterical. Let me hear your money talk, your money talk...

Unlike eco-activists calling for the demise of fossil fuels CO2 is not guilty of crimes against humanity. In fact, CO2 is a benign trace gas essential to life on Earth. etc.

If you eat, the SOCIAL BENEFITS of CO2 are PRICELESS.

co2_level_global_grain.jpg





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