It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Climate Change is a Moral Challenge?



“...sin is the language of Christianity, but that “chet” – the Jewish concept of sin – means “missing the mark,” and matches with the claims made by the Episcopal leader.”

“If you understand the science and its implications, and yet, you continue to live in such a way that your (Greenhouse Gas) emissions are destroying the capacity of the planet to be a safe place, I would say that your actions ‘miss the mark’ if your goal is to live a decent and just life,” Zoloth said.

So the poorest among us are the most righteous? When you reduce your carbon footprint to mine I might begin to take you seriously. My tiny carbon footprint makes me more righteous than you?

Climate change is a moral challenge - it is one of opportunity cost. Would you not agree that if the pursuit of lowering our carbon footprint is an exercise in chasing a phantom that we are then wasting billions of dollars that could have been spent on things that we CAN do something about? (disease, poverty, potable water, food distribution etc)

Would that misdirection of resources then be a ‘chet’?

Skeptics of dangerous manmade climate change (DMMCC) have been pointing this out for years and IF the they are correct then the sinners are the ones who are refusing to listen to them right now!

And to whom do the skeptics refer to back up their assertions? None other than Mother Nature who has the only opinion that counts because she is never wrong. So let’s look at temperature over the last 120 years.

And so should the global climate models which do no better locally or regionally than they do globally.

Certainly local and regional differences are expected but because of H2O not CO2. We are a water based world.

But OK, let’s do a global exercise.

The government datasets to do the calculations will be provided.

While in Hawaii in 2014 Al Gore had plenty of local plugs. He says the evidence on climate change first became clear from carbon dioxide emission monitors on top of Mauna Loa some 60 years ago.

So let’s compare 60 year periods.

If CO2 increased by 18 ppm and the Global Mean Temperature increased by .57C between 1894-1953(60 years) what would you expect the GMT to increase by in the following 60 years (1954-2013) if CO2 went up by 84 ppm?

1894-1953 18 ppm and .57C
1954-2013 84 ppm and ?.??C
That’s 4.5 times as much CO2 added in the last 60 years. This is no surprise.

According to CAGW theory should ?.??C be larger or smaller than .57C? If larger, how much larger? A little bit larger? A lot larger? What would you expect?

To check and verify use:




HADCRUT4 is an anomaly dataset so you are using the first two fields. There is a dataset on the site that explains the other fields(error bars) if you care to explore.

CO2 data post 1958

ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt.



Remember that the beginning of 1954 is the end of 1953 so you must use the 1953 figure as the base year to include all 60 years.

So, what was ?.??C for 1954-2013?

What conclusion would you draw from those data?
Do the math and connect the dots.

"We cannot order men to see the truth, or prohibit them from indulging in error"
~ Max Planck, 1936

I got .40C. Is that in the range that you would have expected? In your mind is 84 ppm CO2 what is causing the climate to change?

Is this an example of the ‘unprecedented’ and ‘accelerating’ global warming we keep hearing about? Is that an example of the heat trapping superpowers attributed to CO2? Seems to me CO2 hasn’t been eating its Wheaties.

After all the fiddling and diddling with the US temp datasets that has been in the news lately I would be interested to know if you get the same numbers I did. If not then perhaps HADCRUT4 is also being manipulated. Why are there different VERSIONS of data datasets? They are not like a computer program that provides new features and corrects bugs.

I do not know how your mind works but the data above suggest to me that CO2 has little, if anything, to do with the rise in temperature over the late 20th century.

We owe CO2 an apology.

CO2, a trace gas essential to life on Earth, is plant food. We exhale CO2 and help to feed the flora. In return they slip us oxygen of which we are rather fond in a mutually beneficial and amicable symbiotic relationship. If CO2 were dangerous would kissing be lethal?

Plants grow better, stronger, faster because of the increasing concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere.

In concluding, the U.S. research team declares that "from this remarkable 30-year archive of satellite imagery, we thus see evidence of a greening trend," which clearly indicates that the net result of the climatic and physiological effects of atmospheric CO2 enrichment on Earth's terrestrial plant life has in the mean been decidedly beneficial.

Apart from that CO2 has no redeeming features

We need to stop all activities aimed at decreasing human emissions of CO2.

CO2 is green. We need more of it not less. CO2 is a friend with BENEFITS. The globe is greening. It is a sign that CO2 is benign. CO2 has been exhaled during the creation of this post. No living thing was harmed. Some even liked it. Let the plants dance.







To my mind the sinners are those who refuse to seriously examine the data that exonerates CO2 from its role as the temperature control knob for the planet. The BENEFITS of more CO2 in the ambient air far outweigh costs of extracting, transporting, refining, using and distributing fossil fuels.

CO2 fuels plants. We exhale CO2. We eat plants. If you like food then the social BENEFITS of CO2: PRICELESS.





Postscript

# Observing Physicist 2015-10-29 23:04

IT IS CRIMINAL that CORRECT CLIMATE SCIENCE will be REJECTED at these CLIMATE TALKS

If the radiation from one molecule of carbon dioxide in every 2,500 air molecules could actually slow the rate of cooling of Earth's surface, then the radiation from water vapour should slow the cooling at least a hundred fold, making rain forests about 50 degrees hotter than dry regions at similar latitudes and altitudes.

The pseudo science that blames natural warming on carbon dioxide assumes that the Sun's radiation firstly warms the Earth's surface, and that radiation from these so-called "greenhouse gases" then slows the cooling. It would, but it would not make the surface hotter than the Sun's radiation could make it anywhere on Earth.

The problem climatologists have is that correct physics tells us that the Sun's radiation is nowhere near strong enough to explain the average surface temperatures on Earth, let alone on Venus, where the solar radiation reaching its surface is only a tenth as much, and yet it is over 460°C there.

Correct physics tells us that the Sun's radiation can, on average, only raise the temperature in colder regions well up in the troposphere.

Correct physics tells us that gravity forms a temperature gradient in the troposphere of a planet and that is the real reason why the surface temperature is hotter than the middle of the troposphere.

And that's why all of what climatologists say about carbon dioxide is wrong.

The Kinetic Theory of Gases explains why the Maxwell et al Gravito-Thermal Greenhouse Effect is Correct



To me the above is just common sense - a flower that does not grow in the IPCC garden perhaps because they removed the CO2?

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Pope A Dope

The trouble with enlisting the support of celebrity prostitutes for a political cause is that their words ring hollow unless they lead by example which they rarely do. Blue collar to Pope: LBE or STFU. When the Pope lowers his ‘carbon footprint’ to my level then we’ll talk. Until then the Pope can blow smoke out his ears.

In his encyclical, the Pope decries compulsive consumerism in an attempt to stir up guilt in people. Why? People are easier to manipulate when they are made to feel ashamed of their wealth. No doubt they also put more in the collection plate too. His idea of compulsive consumerism is people who are enjoying their lives. People with a strong sense of self esteem who want to enjoy their time on Earth cannot be manipulated to serve his purpose. His playbook reads: induce guilt; undermine self esteem.

Fossil fuels have fueled a cultural revolution that allows the ‘poor’ of whom he claims to care about so much to rise from the filth of pre-industrial ‘horse manure on the streets’ society to enjoy the modern conveniences and relative cleanliness of a new and improved standard of living. No one in our day wants to permanently play ‘Survivor’ without Jeff Probst to bring reward. Who wants to be a sacrificial animal? As Myron Ebell has pointed out you can’t help the poor by discarding industrial society but you can, by such actions, make a lot more poor people to fawn over. Does the Pope not feel needed in a society where everyone is pursuing happiness and becoming healthy, wealthy and wise?  

There are many poor people who cook indoors with wood or dung whose health suffers as a result. There are many poor people without air conditioning which would help them survive heat waves. Many people in India have died in their 2015 heat wave. Fossil fuels such as coal plants could help them survive the vagaries of the weather. The benefits of fossil fuels far outweigh the negatives.

The Pope is convinced that “...we need only take a frank look at the facts to see that our common home is falling into serious disrepair.” And yet by just about every metric you can think of our lives are improving. Christina Aguilera even sings about it.

CO2 is an invisible, trace gas essential to life on Earth. We need more of it not less. Plants grow stronger, bigger, faster with more CO2 in the air and that means more food for the world’s poor.

While the Pope may have convinced Al Gore to consider a conversion to Catholicism (he won’t) his flock are divided on the issue of climate change. Win some, lose some.





This is evil?

While the Pope, in his encyclical Laudato Si(Paragraph 61), recognizes “honest debate must be encouraged among experts, while respecting divergent views” he hypocritically banned a French skeptic from offering a contrary opinion. When people do not listen to contrary opinion they are on a mission which takes precedence in their minds over the truth and they are not afraid to say so.

Just as the Pope recognizes that people have a tendency to avoid dealing with problems and maintaining the status quo we must guard against those who see problems where there are none for the waste of resources that follows from chasing phantoms does irreparable harm to everyone.




Gore Self Delusion

   
Gore:'The prominence of the climate-related extreme weather events has caused millions of people to look at their hole cards to examine what the options really are.'

Al must not be aware of these polls:






Perhaps the American public are aware of the data on extreme weather:

As CO2 rises Gaia surprises...

Life expectancy increased

Look at the charts here - death rate from catastrophes orders of magnitude less w/ development. http://ourworldindata.org/data/environmental-change/natural-catastrophes/

Severe hurricanes decreased

Severe tornadoes decreased

Drought is less severe and of shorter duration

Floods are no more prevalent than in the past

Wildfires are down worldwide

Food production has risen

Our standard of living has increased

We have made much progress with many diseases




It’s all good....

No wonder I prefer reading skeptic’s blogs.....the news is so much better

CO2 is a barometer of human wellness - the more we add the better life gets.

How come the people are aware of the data on extreme weather but such knowledge has escaped Al Gore? Besides himself, who does he think he is fooling?




       

Jerry Brown to Ben Carson

Here is the letter:

bencarson


Jerry regards the IPCC AR5 report as the be all and end all of climate science. I suspect Ben Carson has used his considerable intelligence to apprise himself of the scientific contents of the report as opposed to the Summary for Policymakers and realized that the science does not support the conclusions in the SPM. No doubt, Jerry has read the report as well.
Jerry’s state is suffering from a drought. It has happened before but this one Jerry wants to blame on man made climate change. So he cites a CU and NASA/GISS study that concludes that climate change has intensified CA’s drought.

And now we have some



NOAA. Jerry, we know you have heard of that government agency.


In other words, far from being settled SCIENTISTS are still arguing over the causes of drought.

Does Jerry realize that the IPCC doesn’t have very high confidence that drought is man made? He read the report, right?

Embedded image permalink

Low confidence in drought trends in the last 60 years of CO2 rise.

Maybe it is Jerry Brown who needs use his considerable intelligence to read and comprehend the IPCC report. Is Jerry aware of the other retreats from previous IPCC reports contained in the AR5?

From undated pictures only a climate alarmist can tell the difference between a low CO2 and a high CO2 drought.


What is Jerry really certain about?  California’s Climate Change Revolt

The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts -- Bertrand Russell




Thursday, September 10, 2015

Obama's Mount Denial

Obama approves oil drilling in the Arctic Ocean at the same time that he is campaigning for limits to CO2 growth. Then he flies to Alaska on CO2 spewing AF1 to demonstrate how important it is to spew less CO2 in order to push his climate agenda to lower CO2 emissions.


Are climate hypocrites aware of the cynicism they generate?

Obama feels guilty for USA wealth and wants to relieve his guilt with taxpayer money. Nice of him.


Obama believes global warming is melting the ice in the Arctic and yet


If Obama seems a little confused it is because gets a giggle from it.

He uses single instances such as the receding Exit glacier to prove global warming and ignores the equal opportunity logic that an expanding Taku, Margerie or Hubbard glacier can then be used to prove global cooling. His mission is not to educate and put all the facts on display but to table only those that support his view. This is not honesty but it is politics. His staff have knowingly created a carefully scripted Alaska trip to help ‘sell’ their boss’s view.

Obama likes to take selfies and talk about himself as in this example:


He doesn’t want to have to explain the following so he doesn’t mention it.

Alaskan Glaciers Lost Half Their Mass Before 1950 when humans began to add plant fertilizer to the atmosphere in large amounts.

As if the fawning MSM would actually pose the question to him.


Perhaps Obama and his staff don’t read the science journals where climate science is in flux and were unaware of the following new paper.


After all, the sea ice extent has been known to be much smaller than present during the Holocene climatic Optimum over 5000 years ago. They grow and recede quite independently of the amount of CO2 in the air. And since the satellite era record low of 2012 what has happened?


Obama’s Alaska trip was a hodgepodge of contradictions illustrating his power to do as he pleases. He behaves like Little Miss Helpful except that he is not oblivious to the chaos he leaves in his wake. He revels in his Denial.

What’s it all about, Alfie?


The truth is not invited to the show. It would be a hindrance to the anticipated applause which, no doubt, will be accepted with modesty.  

Not everyone agrees that ‘now we see’.


Change is what the climate does because the climate is cyclical. And the human ability to change it has not advanced past the technology of the rain dance and prayer.

As Obama completed his Alaska agenda and left for warmer climes is he aware that he trips out on CO2?

CO2 is clean and green. We need more of it not less. The globe is greening. This is a sign that CO2 is benign. CO2 has been exhaled during the creation of this post. No living thing was harmed. Some even liked it. Let the plants dance. #ActonClimate Hug a tree.







   

Why is there More than One?


Apparently, the past is malleable, especially if it does not support the global warming hysteria.

Why is there more than one global climate model? Why don’t they agree with one another?

Because the science is settled. Because basic physics.




A Point of Control

Who is in control?

It has been pointed out by global warming alarmists that skeptics like to quote the satellite temperature data because it does not show recent warming but ignore the surface data which does show recent warming.

Yet when it comes to sea level skeptics ignore the satellite data that shows a 3.3mm/yr rise and prefer the surface tide gauge data which shows a lower increase of 1.8mm/yr.

In both cases alarmists prefer the data under the control of NOAA/NASA and skeptics prefer data that is independent of NOAA/NASA.

You be the judge.

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