Change is what the climate does

Arctic vs Global Air Temps

From the NIPCC

"In harmony with state-of-the-art AOGCM simulations, the five researchers report that "the Arctic has indeed warmed during the 1970-2008 period by a factor of two to three faster than the global mean." More precisely, the Arctic amplification factor was 2.0 for the low Arctic and 2.9 for the high Arctic. But that is the end of the real world's climate-change agreement with theory. During the 1910-1940 warming, for example, the low Arctic warmed 5.4 times faster than the global mean, while the high Arctic warmed 6.9 times faster. Even more out of line with climate model simulations were the real-world Arctic amplification factors for the 1940-1970 cooling: 9.0 for the low Arctic and 12.5 for the high Arctic."

"Such findings constitute another important example of the principle described (and proven to be correct) by Reifen and Toumi (2009), i.e., that a model that performs well in one time period will not necessarily perform well in another time period. And this incontrovertible fact further suggests that since AOGCMs suffer from this shortcoming, they ought not be considered adequate justification for imposing policy changes, as their simulations of future temperature trends may well be far different from what will actually transpire."

May 4 2012 SSTs

The Sea Surface Temperatures are looking rather cool.

Let's see how this works out over the summer.

Chill! Deep inside you knew it was phony...

Lightning strike due to AGW?

Stats from National Weather Service in the USA.
Thirty year trend for lightning is 55 deaths per year. The 1940s saw an average annual death rate of 329. In contrast the first decade of the new millennium saw a death rate of 39. This is quite a difference. We are safer now. I suspect that the incidents of lightning strikes are no different between then and now but humans have adapted technologically to the presence of lightning with better lightning safety devices (lightning rods) and awareness. Either that or an increase in CO2 causes a decrease in lightning strikes. Where's a smiley when you need one. CO2 is indeed a magical gas. There seems to be no end to its ability to cause bad things to happen to good people.

chart of weather fatalities, see 68 year list for text version

chart of weather fatalities, see 68 year list for text version

Temps in Maine are not increasing. Shoshana Zuboff has been misled about that. We are glad she survived her encounter with a lightning bolt.

"From her story it appears that Ms. Zuboff has indeed been a victim but not of global warming, but of the indoctrination of the environmental movement." Art Horn

CO2 was exhaled during the composition of this post. No living thing was harmed. Some even liked it.

Another warmist is expressing doubts

Former hero of the German environmental movement: "we have been misguided by the IPCC about the natural fluctuations in the climate in the past thousands of years" ~ Fritz Vahrenholt

RIO+20

It is coming in June 2012. And at this conference (party) Agenda 21 will be pushed hard.

Some fear it.

And with good reason.

Liberty. Do you value it? Many don't and they will be at RIO+20.

Here is the history.

Groupthink

Very important article at Watts Up with that.

"Groupthink was extensively studied by Yale psychologist Irving L. Janis and described in his 1982 book Groupthink: Psychological Studies of Policy Decisions and Fiascoes.'

The concepts elucidated by Janis seem to fit the CAGW crowd like a glove. If the glove fits you must commit.

We were warned by Presdsident Eisenhower that government could become hostage to a technological elite.

"Yet, in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific/technological elite."

The CAGW concept has done just that. The expense and waste of the false human induced CO2 global warming belief should be a lesson that brings more oversight of government allocation of funds for scientific research. How do you guard against groupthink?