"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
[2006] ‘Humanity is sitting on a time bomb. If the vast majority of the world’s scientists are right, we have just 10 years to avert a major catastrophe that could send our entire planet’s climate system into a tail-spin of epic destruction . . .”
There are three years to go on that one, Mr Gore. WIll we be on the Eve of Destruction? Based on the success rate of past apocalyptic prognostications from the ‘experts’ my inclination is not to worry. My money is on Dr Feynman.
Drought showed up in 2012 in Colorado and alarmist hysteria predicted shorter ski seasons
shorter ski seasons and less snow brought to Colorado by the winter of 2012-2013
Well, that didn’t happen as ….
The 1970 crystal ball was broken - experts fooled. Crystal ball recalled by The Wizard.Company.
Why does that one have a ring of familiarity to it?
We have similar scientific seers foretelling the end of the world today due to our profligate use of fossil fuels. They will be wrong too. That is my considered opinion based on the success of previous prophets.
Here are some experts who disagree with the other experts.
CRU Director : Warmth Is A Thing Of The Past - ice age coming... this was in 1972
Here is a good one from 1864. Does that one sound familiar? Another Eve of Destruction from the 19th century. Thought it was a more modern concern? We are still here and prospering.
Feynman was an expert on experts.
Phds do not come with a direct line to the truth or a guarantee of infallibility.
Only Mother Nature possesses that degree.
Back in the 1970s the experts thought that global cooling was responsible for bad weather
Today’s experts are more informed and blame bad weather on global warming
Today’s experts know that global warming brings more drought except when it brings a deluge. Governor Perry of Texas knew the rains would return. How come the climate experts didn’t know that?
We laugh. We say get back to us when you are all on the same page. We don’t vote on reality. We want to know what it is. Get your ducks in a row before you mouth off and frighten the hell out of us. Stop crying wolf.
Of course, the experts are never wrong. That is why they are experts. Occasionally, they will admit error.
Last time I looked the low lying islands were still above water.
Do experts have a vested interest in alarmist predictions?
Does it bring them notoriety, recognition, invitations and funding? Are they human? Is their profit in being a prophet? Ask Mr Hansen or Mr Gore.
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts -- Bertrand Russell
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