It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Sunday, November 6, 2011

Hurricanes and Climate Change

Apparently, hurricanes have nothing to do with the increasing amount of CO2 that humans are depositing in the atmosphere. Hurricane trends are down all over the world. See here.

Here is data for Australia

Here is data for China

Here is data from the USA

A failed prediction of  a theory deserves explanation or the theory must be reformulated to take into account real world data. Hurricane predictions are made by Global Climate Models (GCMs). If the predictions of the model do not correspond to reality then the model is not reality based. It is defective and cannot be relied upon in its current form to give us any information on which we should act.

Can we conclude that the models attribute far too much importance to the presence of CO2 in our atmosphere? Can we conclude that increasing CO2 not only is good for plant growth but has the added benefit of hurricane amelioration?

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