Environment Canada 2014-2015 Winter Forecast

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/el-nino-should-keep-polar-vortex-at-bay-environment-canada-says-1.2857371

Environment Canada is expecting the next three months to be average or warmer than normal in almost the entire country, thanks in part to El Nino, a senior climatologist says.

"The good news for all Canadians is that there's no area of significant population where we're showing colder than normal," Dave Phillips told CBC News on Tuesday.

Environment Canada's supercomputer in Montreal has run the numbers, and Phillips said that except for a small area around Lake Superior and part of Nunavut, the winter will be warm in contrast to last year's — one of the longest and coldest on record.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/12-cold-records-for-dec-1-set-this-morning-1.2855769

Good start in Saskatchewan!

Here’s a sample of how the rest of the winter survived all the heat trapping that CO2 was doing this winter:

Record cold in North Bay, Northern Ontario, Canada

Great Lakes ice cover tops 88%

Coldest February ever in Montreal

February 2015 – Toronto’s coldest month ever

February 2015 coldest in 115 years in Canada

Heavy snowfall in New Brunswick

Extreme cold rears its ugly head – again – in several parts of Canada

Some school boards cancel classes, dismiss early as bad weather approaches - Nova Scotia

Frozen pipes plague Toronto amid Canadian deep freeze

How Niagara Falls freezes ... or does it?

More record lows for Ontario

Snowfall warnings for southern Quebec and Nova Scotia

Record lows across Ontario and Saskatchewan

Record freeze on Lake Ontario

Frozen Over: Lake Erie 94 Percent Covered in Ice

Astonishing snowfall totals as massive storm slams Eastern Canada

Heavy snow in eastern Canada

Record cold in Canada

Toronto Island Ferry stuck in ice Sunday - Toronto - CBC ...

Toronto gets another blast of extreme cold

Halifax urging residents to stay home for next 24 to 36 hours

Ferry carrying 230 passengers freed from ice in Quebec

Terrace, Kitimat, B.C. digging out from near record-breaking snowfall

Cold temperatures, more snow arrive in Toronto

Maritimes weather: Frosty temperatures continue

B.C. First Nation evacuates 700 residents after heavy snowfall in Kitimat

Snowfall and extreme cold warnings across various parts of Canada.

 Windsor, Ontario cleans up after record snowfall

Blizzard conditions close down Canadian province of Prince Edward Island

Saint John, N.B. declares state of emergency as snow buries Atlantic Canada

Snow and extreme cold continue to grip eastern Canada and the far north

Snow amounts of 60 cm (23.6″) forecast for parts of Newfoundland and Labrador.

Heavy snow and cold across many parts of Canada

Blizzard warnings for Quebec, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Nunavut, Prince Edward Island, Northwest Territories

Newfoundland and Labrador – 78 cm of snow in 48 hours! (with video)

Record snowfall in Grand Prairie, Alberta

Snow event of the century in British Columbia

Record Snowfall at British Columbia Ski Resort – Video

Cold weather in Yukon drives record breaking power use

and on and on and on. List not meant to be exhaustive.

Environment Canada can’t get their winter prediction correct only 3 months into the future but climate science can tell us what the world will be like in 2100? Anybody buying that snake oil?

How many millions spent on the Environment Canada supercomputer? 

To be fair some parts of BC were blessed with an early spring. Does that mean their carbon tax was not working?

Parroting the Alarmist Script

In this article the journalist/reporter presents all the major script lines of the man made climate change message.

It is an example of what Donna LaFramboise referred to here

“Experts imagining they know what will happen next. Journalists pretending that experts know what they’re talking about.”

Chris Arsenault parroted the academic ‘experts’.

His first sentence contains the unjustified belief that gets repeated as if it were true and unchallenged.

Despite a scientific consensus that human activity is causing the planet to warm up

Does Chris assume there is a consensus because that’s what he has heard? Is he unaware that there are scientific challenges to this assertion? We are told incessantly, as if it is their most prized and irrefutable argument for man made climate change, that there is a consensus among climate scientists that the climate is changing and it is our fault.

’97 Articles Refuting The ’97% Consensus’

Was it Aquinas who advised: Ask not who made the claim ask if the claim is true. If it  were possible to resurrect him and bring Aquinas forward into our age it is probable that he would like to add a corollary to his epithet. Ask not how many made the claim ask if the claim is true. The who and how many are red herrings designed to draw your attention away from whether the claim is true. Consensus is an argument for the simpleminded and if presented as a valid argument on a logic exam it would attract an ‘X’ in the margin.

Who would use such invalid arguments? Why would they need them?

Mutual agreement proves mutual agreement. It does not prove truth.

Bertrand Russell knew about consensus: "The fact that an opinion has been widely held is no evidence whatever that it is not utterly absurd; indeed in view of the silliness of the majority of mankind, a widespread belief is more likely to be foolish than sensible.”

Has Russell identified the phenomenon of groupthink?

Chris understands the following correctly:

Both groups generally agree that climate change is real, according to the study based on an Internet survey of U.S. residents. But the two camps differ on whether human activity is causing warming.

But is he aware of the ruckus that was raised by the statement from NOAA that Chris alludes to?

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in January that 2014 was the warmest year since records began in the late 19th century.

Here is but one objection. Satellites: Warming pause continues & 2014 not the hottest        

Chris continues the party line.

U.N. experts believe it’s 95 percent likely that human activities, including the burning of fossil fuels, are causing the planet to warm.

And what do the experts say caused the planet to warm in the past? Are they sure that the same forces aren’t responsible for the late 20th century warming they are so concerned about? With the divergence between their global climate models which expect a warmer world than reality is providing perhaps it is 95% certain that they don’t know what they are talking about.

Some scientists may say the following but some do not. Is Chris aware of the skeptic objections to these beliefs or is he deliberately leaving them out? Is he a parrot, biased or ignorant?

Inaction is leading to serious consequences including rising sea levels, wild weather patterns and a loss of biodiversity, scientists say.

Sea levels have been rising since the end of the last ice age long before we were driving SUVs. What caused them to start rising? Chris?

Some recent research points to a slowdown in the rise of the seas. From ClimateDepot.com:

Sea level rise instead decelerated over the 20th century, decelerated 31% since 2002 and decelerated 44% since 2004 to less than 7 inches per century. There is no evidence of an acceleration of sea level rise, and therefore no evidence of any man-made effect on sea levels.

Here is NOAA on the ‘scientists’ wild weather: NOAA Report Destroys Global Warming Link To Extreme Weather  Chris?

Boston Globe had an article asking for the bodies. How many animals are really going extinct? ‘Where are the bodies? Actual documented extinctions are vanishingly rare’  Chris?

Parroting the script gets you an easy article but are you concerned about the truth in it?

Data destroys dogma and the truth is in the details.

We need fewer “journalists pretending that experts know what they’re talking about.”

Is This the Truth aAbout Ad Hominem?

Ad Hominem - attack the man rather than his argument

People who resort to an ad hominem attack are at once admitting the validity of their opponents’ position and declaring their capitulation.

Or at the very least they are admitting that they do not understand how to counter the argument of their opponent and resort to ad hominem out of frustration.

In the case of man made climate change Mother Nature is asserting her disagreement with the theory by refusing to raise the global mean temperature for 18+ years and thereby declaring her independence from the influence of human induced CO2. Perhaps the alarmists should investigate her funding. Their beef is really with Mother Nature not Willie Soon. Willie is but one of many who are playing the part of Despicable Me in the eyes of climate alarmists.

Willie Soon does not adhere to the CO2 centric climate change chanting so let us attack his credibility in an attempt to deflect attention away from his contrary scientific conclusions which so threaten us. That is an admission of defeat and complete capitulation. The alarmists do not have the integrity to acknowledge their error. They suppress their humanity and go on the attack to save face. They are a slave to their agenda not to the truth.

Yet, no matter how much energy you put into a slash and smash, bash and trash or slice and dice of the messenger after all that irrelevant effort you are still left to address the correctness of her message. The truth of the message does not logically stand or fall on the name, credentials or funding of the messenger. Mother Nature is the sole arbiter of truth. If your theory does not agree with her then it is wrong.

The current purge against US scientists skeptical of the CO2 centric climate change chanting is an admission of the strength of skeptical arguments or they would be ignored. Their message is dangerous to the agenda of the ruling elite and must be silenced. These individuals must be shown that they are lambs to be sacrificed. Hopefully some of them will relish the confrontation and be willing to expose the witch hunt which is already transparent to most intelligent observers.

People are not so stupid that they don’t see through this unfair vicious game. We have been warned about it in Hayek’s ‘The Road to Serfdom’ Ch10 and Ch11. While alarmist lips are moving the music playing in the background is Donna Summer’s ‘Who Do You Think You’re Foolin’.

Valentine's Day CO2 Love-in

Climate alarmists are very good at PR. They are always coming up with new campaigns to further their agenda(21). On Valentine’s Day they want everyone to declare their love for the planet and express what they would lose and miss if humans do not address the apocalyptic climate change that they imagine is taking place before their brainwashed eyes.

Some people don’t seem to be happy unless they can find something of life and death importance to be concerned about. They need a ‘sky is falling’ focus for their life. Since there is no climate crisis except in the minds of the self deluded, let us express our love of CO2 and give thanks for the bounty that it provides to us.

Crops

World agricultural output continues to rise, despite dire predictions of decline

World Food Production at Record Levels

“Warmest Year” Brings Record Harvests For UK

2014 Sees Record Harvests Worldwide…Demolishing Gloomy Myth Global Warming Would Lead To Acute Crop Failures

My fruits and veggies thank you, CO2 and so do yours! Shall we celebrate human ingenuity which also contributes to our bounty of agricultural products? CO2 enrichment studies demonstrate the benefits of increased CO2.

Forests

Tropical forests don’t seem to mind a little warming. They are flowering to a greater extent than previously. Do they like more CO2?

Temperate forests are more tolerant of rising temperatures than heretofore imagined.

Trees love CO2 as well! Well, gollly! Surprise! Surprise! Surprise!

Human Health

The Evolution of Human Health Responses to Extreme Heat Event

Dengue Virus Infection of Humans Living in a Warmer World

Malaria is on the decrease.

What goes down as CO2  goes up

Meanwhile, as CO2 continues to rise unabated in the atmosphere, bad weather is on the decrease. Would it be impertinent to point out that this is contrary to expectations from the climate alarmist community who have been reduced to trying to make every natural disaster a showcase for their failed CO2 centric theory?

NOAA doesn’t think there is a connection between CO2 and severe weather. Should that assuage your fears?

There is some evidence in the scientific literature that a warmer world will result in less severe weather. Now that is scary, especially for alarmists preaching end times if we don’t curtail our emissions.

How about tornadoes? The most severe ones are in a downtrend as CO2 rises. Isn’t this good news? Why are alarmists not pointing this out and cheering?

Neither hurricanes or cyclones are becoming more severe or more frequent as CO2 rises in our air.

‘The Truth About Carbon Dioxide And CO2 Emissions’  As CO2 has gone up death rates due to extreme weather have gone down by 98% over the last 80 years.    

Crime rates are also on the decline in our CO2 obsessed world.

More diseases are showing reduced death rates.

Poverty has also decreased as CO2 has continued to rise in the atmosphere.

Even as Al Gore and company brand every example of extreme weather as a sign of man made climate change scientists who know a thing or two about the subject beg to differ. Even the IPCC cannot make the connection.

Glad the experts have cleared that up!

As CO2 goes up so does longevity and living standards. Gee, let’s put a stop to that.

If geoscientists can be believed contemporary CO2 concentration is near a record LOW when compared against the average over the last 600 million years. Would it be impertinent to point out that there was no tipping point, no runaway global warming, no uninhabitable cauldron created during that time? Afterall, we are here. Temperatures over that time period have also been higher and lower than those of today at both higher and lower concentrations of CO2 in the air. Some minds draw the conclusion from this that CO2 concentration has little or nothing to do with global temperature. And from that there is NO CLIMATE CRISIS except in the minds of the self deluded whose agenda(21) is more important than truth.

"In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill....All these dangers are caused by human intervention....and thus the “real enemy, then, is humanity itself....believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is “a real one or….one invented for the purpose." ~ Club of Rome

The totalitarians among us have seized upon CO2 as their right of passage into total control of the human species. You think this is an exaggeration? Listen.

"Effective execution of Agenda 21 will require a profound reorientation of all human society, unlike anything the world has ever experienced a major shift in the priorities of both governments and individuals and an unprecedented redeployment of human and financial resources. This shift will demand that a concern for the environmental consequences of every human action be integrated into individual and collective decision-making at every level." - UN Agenda 21

Pinky and the Brain are alive and well and living at the United Nations.

We owe CO2 an apology.

CO2, a trace gas essential to life on Earth, is plant food. We exhale CO2 and help to feed the flora. In return they slip us oxygen of which we are rather fond in a mutually beneficial and amicable symbiotic relationship.

Plants grow better, stronger, faster because of the increasing concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere.

Apart from that CO2 has no redeeming features

We need to stop all activities aimed at decreasing human emissions of CO2.

CO2 is green. We need more of it not less. CO2 has been exhaled during the creation of this post. No living thing was harmed. Some even liked it. Let the plants dance and the flowers bloom for the florists.

Happy Valentine’s Day!

Alarmists in Denial

Climate “Scientists” Telling Big Fat Lies

“Sceptics who still doubt anthropogenic climate change have now been stripped of one of their last-ditch arguments: It is true that there has been a warming hiatus and that the surface of the earth has warmed up much less rapidly since the turn of the millennium than all the relevant climate models had predicted. However, the gap between the calculated and measured warming is not due to systematic errors of the models, as the sceptics had suspected, but because there are always random fluctuations in the Earth’s climate.“

Sounds more like Alarmists last ditch effort to save a failed theory. Good to see them admit that which cannot be denied: It is true that there has been a warming hiatus and that the surface of the earth has warmed up much less rapidly since the turn of the millennium than all the relevant climate models had predicted. Analysis here.

And that they can’t predict ‘random fluctuations in the Earth’s climate’. Now we are getting somewhere. The IPCC knew this back in 2001 before they went on their ‘sky is falling’ trip which is far more lucrative than admitting what you know you don’t know. .

” … In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing

with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the

long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

From the 3rd IPCC report, Section 14.2 “The Climate System”, page 774.

But when your theory predicts this much warming and Mother Nature delivers 8X less, then your theory is busted and climate models can’t be trusted.

Climate Science Fiction: IPCC Climate Model Predictions of Global Warming 8X Greater Than Reality

The authors of the article in Phys Org from which the first quote in bold above was taken don’t see the import of their own admission. Amazing and very Juicy!