It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Showing posts with label extreme weather. Show all posts
Showing posts with label extreme weather. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Crazy Calamitous Climate Change Champions

The C5s are blaming everything on us CO2 induced climate change cretins. We emit CO2 and that spoils everything. Here’s what I mean:

Uh, huh. Anything else?


That can’t be good but somehow alarmist hyperbole has lost its lustre with me. Maybe it is because the ‘end times’ have this abysmal habit of not showing up at the party.

Here is another doomsayer.


How is $90 billion thrown at clean energy programs a ‘lack of action’? A waste of money maybe but hardly a lack of action.


Oh, OK. We should stop using it right away. CO2 (coal plant emissions) drives people to kill themselves. We must save these people. One wonders if losing one’s job in coal mining will have any effect on suicide rates. Maybe it is OK for those people to take care of themselves.


Wow. Like there was a time when armed conflict wasn’t a part of human existence. If only we had known sooner how to stop fighting amongst ourselves. But, wait. We emit CO2. Oh, now all becomes clear. If we all hold our breath together there will be no more armed conflict between humans because we will all asphyxiate ourselves. Brilliant! Give this man an Oscar and a Nobel Peace Prize. Or, perhaps we need to implement the Nobel Prize for excellence in stupidity   


Damn, somebody else thought of it first. The alarmists have gone totally batty. And these are our intellectual elite? Maybe they would like to volunteer for that Mars expedition where they don’t come back.     

Can I nominate this fellow?


In other words Joe, it would be nice to be a Neanderthal? They didn’t have fossil fuels and they became fossils. We are on a roll here. And he is among our leaders. Pathetic!


You eat insects. Some like it hot.


Like that is going to happen!


And if CO2 doesn’t kill them then they may get wiped out from all the unmanaged wilderness that the enviros are creating when it goes up in flames. Pristine carries dangers. Fire destroys habitat, plants and animals. My suspicion is there is a greater danger to biodiversity from forest fires than from CO2. Would there be fewer fires if humans were allowed once again to earn their living from forestry? Ironically, saving the spotted owl may result in its guaranteed destruction. The law of unintended consequences strikes again.


CO2 can do nothing right. Extreme weather can be unkind to humans. Except that it has been getting less extreme. An there has always been extreme weather regardless of the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. We will learn to adapt as we always have.


More advocates for the Neanderthal lifestyle of the ditch and heinous. Will they lead by example or only pontificate from the luxury of their ivory towers? That was a rhetorical question.


Looks like our ancestors had their scare mongers too! Well, we got over that one. Fast forward to our age and now we worry about overhead transmission lines and cell phones. Some of us are not happy without an ‘end times’ scenario to worry about. Some people have the strangest hobbies.

All this is especially nutty when you consider the evidence for the beneficence of CO2.

We owe CO2 an apology.

CO2, a trace gas essential to life on Earth, is plant food. We exhale CO2 and help to feed the flora. In return they slip us oxygen of which we are rather fond in a mutually beneficial and amicable symbiotic relationship.

Apart from that CO2 has no redeeming features

We need to stop all activities aimed at decreasing human emissions of CO2.

CO2 is green. We need more of it not less. CO2 has been exhaled during the creation of this post. No living thing was harmed. Some even liked it. Let the plants dance.
This is Obama’s evidence that climate change is out of control.


The POTUS believes nonsense and that is disturbing.





       
               



Sunday, October 28, 2012

Frankenpoop

Hurricane Sandy is approaching the US east coast on Oct 28, 2012. It has been dubbed 'Frankenstorm' because of its near Halloween arrival coupled with the appearance of the full moon which will add to the normal storm surge to be expected. The nearness of the US election for POTUS to the event has started speculation that the storm has been sent by the Deity to wake up US politicians for ignoring the issue of climate change during the televised debates. Frankenpoop!

Alarmists don't miss an opportunity to be, well, alarmist. Make no mistake Sandy has the potential to be a very destructive storm since it may linger over the US eastern seaboard because of a high pressure system to the north that may keep Sandy pinned down for a few days. Lots of rain, high winds and snow is expected for the areas that fall in its path. Storm surges may be exceptionally high due to the high tides enhanced by the pull of the full moon. Much property damage should be expected.

But Sandy is not unprecedented and while we wish people in its path the best possible outcome we should not lose sight of the context in which Sandy falls. There have been other hurricanes that have occurred in the fall of the year along the eastern seaboard. A list of them appears here. Hurricane Hazel, a category 4 1954 storm, that traveled a similar path to that projected for Sandy was very destructive and cost 95 lives. 1886 was a particularly bad year for hurricanes in the US when 7 landed, two of them of the 'major' variety. New England experienced a devastating hurricane in September of 1938. In September of 1944 a hurricane hit NYC and again in 1950. The NYC area does not usually receive storms that bring more than 6 inches of rain. The rainiest day was in 1954. When we look at Atlantic City, NJ we see that extreme precipitation events have been on the decline. All of these storms occurred when CO2 was at a much lower concentration in the atmosphere than it is today. Does this not suggest tat CO2 has nothing to do with fueling storms? The US has not been hit by a MAJOR hurricane in 7 years. Florida has not been hit with ANY hurricane in 7 years. Both periods of absence are records. President Obama has been in office for only two hurricanes and one of those has since been downgraded to a tropical storm. These facts do not support the view that hurricanes are becoming more frequent or severe. Their severity in terms of property damage is a result of the growth of human society.

Sandy, as with any hurricane, is to be feared and people should take steps to secure their safety. But hurricanes have happened before and will happen again. The records do NOT indicate that they are becoming more frequent or more severe. They may cause more damage to property which is to be expected given the growth of population in the areas affected. Sandy is not part of a new normal. To suggest that it is is Frankenpoop. Hurricanes, unwelcome as they are, will drop in on us from time to time. Even reducing our levels of atmospheric CO2 concentration to those present in 1886 will not prevent them. Seriously, doesn't this suggest to you that CO2 concentration has nothing to do with the severity of the weather? Time to reject Frankenpoop.

Alarmists rue the lack of coverage of climate change in the presidential debates. You can hear them almost hoping for a very destructive result for hurricane Sandy. Some have called it God's wrath. That is a vengeful  God. My preference would be for one who keeps hurricanes at bay for 7 years or longer. Alarmists will try to use the appearance of Sandy to plead their case for CAGW. Armed with a little history and some scientific studies that rebut the association of CO2 with extreme weather we can ignore the hysteria and realize that CO2 is innocent of all charges. Sometimes we get bad weather and just have to endure it. May everyone in its path experience Sandy safely. 

CO2 is a trace gas essential to life on Earth and has been exhaled during the creation of this post. No living thing was harmed. Some even liked it.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Why The Public has trouble accepting CAGW

In the news (MSM) we see reports about glacier drainage that relate "Fast-flowing and narrow glaciers have the potential to trigger massive changes in the Antarctic ice sheet and contribute to rapid ice-sheet decay and sea-level rise, a new study has found."

But climate realists are also aware of studies that  indicate that conclusions about the Antarctic ice sheet melt are all wet. Antarctica is gaining ice mass according to GRACE.

So how is it possible to conclude that the science is settled when there are conflicting reports about the state of the Antarctic ice sheet? Excuse us our skepticism but conflicting reports about the same phenomenon is evidence of disagreement among scientists. The science is not settled. It is in flux as people try to sort out what is really going on.

We see a similar Armageddon approach to the record low ice melt in the Arctic in the summer of 2012. Proof positive that global warming via human CO2 emissions is happening. Predictions of an ice-free Arctic by summer 2015 and ice free year round by 2030 have followed.

Where have we heard these kind of predictions before? Similar concerns about Arctic warming were on the minds of people back in the 1920s, 30s and 40s. We are still waiting for the arrival of an ice free Arctic.

"We are in a planetary emergency," said Hansen, decrying "the gap between what is understood by scientific community and what is known by the public."

And yet others say 'Don't Panic' and present evidence that Arctic ice melt is nothing to get excited about because it has happened before and is due to natural causes.

What is a layperson to do? Who to believe?

And to make it worse some people claim the reduced Arctic ice will cause Northern Hemisphere winters to become worse while others decry the loss of the world's 'air-conditioner' and fear it is a harbinger of even greater global warming. Yet another study says N. Hemisphere winters may not get worse. Warmer winters; colder winters. Which is it? How about snowy winters?

Meanwhile at the south end of the planet Antarctic sea ice is at a maximum in direct contradiction to the direction predicted by astute climate models. That heat trapping gas, CO2, seems to act preferentially in the Northern Hemisphere. Maybe it is too cold for it in the South. And it is getting colder in Antarctica.

Warm in the Arctic; cold in the Antarctic.
Hot here; cold there.
Heat distribution not so rare.

Could it be that the atmosphere adjusts to warming in one area by inducing cold elsewhere?

And what are we to make of a Snow and Ice expert like Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, who can't keep his story straight on what is going on in the Arctic.Click the link for an overview of his confusion.

There were 11 snowfall records set in the US state of Nevada on Sept 17, 2012 and yet we are told by global warming alarmists that snow is a thing of the past.

Then we get reports that say the sea ice volume in the Arctic is decreasing both slower and faster than the sea ice extent.

There is this bit of 'settled science' about American Crows reported at Tom Nelson's blog. Someone reports that crows are a threatened species and someone else can't stand the stench of their deposits as thousands of them converge on the town.

So what are people to think about what the experts 'know' when we are given such conflicting opinions? The state of climate science is reminiscent of the caffeine is good/bad for you studies and the latest man-made chemical that can cause cancer. People soon tune out and conclude that the 'experts' don't know what they are talking about. Conflicting media reports spawn skepticism and this is bad for science. Scientists need to come to the media and the public with their stories straight if they expect us to take them seriously. Otherwise, they enter the category of entertainment rather than providing the good guidance we would like to receive from our scientists.

But scientists have a vested interest in manufacturing and exaggerating scares because it keeps the funding coming. Conflicting results mean more studies are required. The MSM loves a good scare as it is good for advertising revenues. More viewers mean better ratings. And politicians rush to get on the bandwagon of the latest scare so they are seen to be taking the moral high road. This is good for their re-election prospects.

Meanwhile the truth gets lost until scientists finally sort it out. And since we are still here all previous 'end times' scares have turned out to be bogus or politicians claim that the actions they took were successful whether those actions were necessary or not.

To an interested public climate science is hopelessly confused.

Here is another example of muddled thinking on climate change. Some excerpts below, emphasis added.

"Heat waves. Drought. Flooding. Cold spells. Wildfires. The climate system is changing before our very eyes, and there is no more glaring proof than the record-shattering loss of Arctic sea ice this summer.
...It now appears, however, that a gradual warming may not be the primary concern, as the gases may also fuel extreme weather around the world.
...
The weather we experience at mid-latitudes is largely dictated by these waves in the jet stream. The slower the waves move, the longer the weather associated with them will persist. Essentially, “hot,” “dry,” “cold,” and “rainy” are all terms to describe very normal weather conditions. It’s only when those conditions persist in one area for too long that they are dubbed with the names of their extreme alter egos: heat waves, drought, cold spells, and floods. And these kinds of extreme events are precisely what we’ve seen more of in recent years.

Global warming now has a face and a fingerprint that directly touch each of our lives. Rather than just a gradual increase in temperature, we can recognize its influence in a shift toward more extreme weather events. A warmer atmosphere also means a moister atmosphere, so any given storm will have more moisture and energy to work with, increasing the chances of flooding or heavy snows."

Jennifer admits to a gradual warming that is responsible for both heat waves and cold spells. The warming may not be the most important result of GHG gases as they lead to more extreme weather. The warming atmosphere may also be responsible for heavy snows. So warm produces cold? It must be cold to be cold but somehow that nasty heat trapping CO2 manages to generate heavy snow and cold spells? It would be interesting to know the mechanism by which that takes place. Do the CO2 molecules congregate in the warm areas thus reducing CO2 in cold places? Is that why they are cold? How do CO2 molecules decide where  to hold their convention of warmth? Did they pick the US Midwest in the summer of 2012 and leave Britain and Sweden without sufficient protection so they had cold summers? Jennifer might like to re-check her info on the prevalence of extreme weather in our recent history. It has been on the decrease.Can we conclude that increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leads to less severe weather?

The pundits are parroting the conventional wisdom uncritically because it fits with their view of the world. It is getting warmer and humans are at fault. Pogo science. Those who know have a responsibility to educate and for their efforts they are called deniers which adds credence to the view that the issue of climate change is all about a political agenda and has nothing to do with the truth. The Club of Rome has said as much.

"In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill....All these dangers are caused by human intervention....and thus the “real enemy, then, is humanity itself....believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is “a real one or….one invented for the purpose."


One invented for the purpose.... kind of says it all. And misanthropic Pogo science drives it.



Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Connect the Dots

The 'connect the dots' idea originated at the 350.org web site. "On 5/5/12 people from around the world highlighted the effects of recent severe weather and climate change." Or so they say.

But extreme weather has always been with us and happens less frequently than in the past. This project could have been done in almost any year that you care to investigate.  1911, 1927, 1936 are some examples of years of severe weather that occurred prior to CO2 concentration crossing the ominous 350ppm boundary between so called increasing severe weather times and the idyllic(sarc) weather of the past.

These facts betray the 'Connect the Dots' campaign as a publicity stunt run by people who want to 'win' on the issue of climate change and who have no interest in informing the public about contradictory facts. They seek to fill their minds with confirmation bias and to ignore the cognitive dissonance created by weather history. And yet, it is always the interplay between the two that allows the truth to be distilled. At 350.org they have failed to 'connect the dots' to advance human knowledge and prefer instead to live in their delusional world. They do a disservice to themselves and their readers by purveying the nonsense that the severe weather of today is a result of climate change caused by the human burning of fossil fuels. Their actions are shameful. They are true deniers.

Politics and religion are filled with emotional drivers that often lead us into dark alleys. The people of 350.org will remain in the dark until they realize they must turn around in order to find the light of reason. Darkness envelopes willful ignorance. It is difficult to  say what will lead the members of 350.org to the realization that they are backing the wrong horse. No matter how they twist no matter how they turn no matter how they flip no matter how they flop sooner or later reality will slap them in the face and they will experience the embarrassment and shame that comes with the final admission that they were wrong. Don't expect it any time soon. And they will probably just hop aboard the next apocalyptic issue to come along completely oblivious to their habit.

How do you tell the difference between low CO2 snow and high CO2 snow? They are both white.

Low CO2 tornadoes kill people. But tornado deaths are trending down since 1880. CO2 exonerated.

Bad weather happens. Much of it was more severe in the past especially in terms of lives lost. Modern technology provides early warnings which allows us to take protective action.

How about 1847? Does any of this sound familiar?

1847: Hurricane Blasts Havana and Key West, Florida
1847: Bitter Cold & Snow Cause Miserable Winter In France, Spain & Switzerland
1847: Severe Drought In Holland Dried Up Most Of The Wells
1847: Heat & Drought Cause Famine and Food Riots In France
1847: New South Wales, Australia Again Hit With Bad Drought
1847: Australia's Aborigines Say White Man Has Changed The Climate
1847: Winter Cold Brings -34F Temperatures To Dartmouth College Campus

Hot and cold. Famine. Hurricanes. White men blamed for climate change. Where have we heard that before? 

In more primitive times we blamed bad weather on angry gods or witches. Now we blame CO2. 

CO2 is the modern witch of climate change. And just as innocent.

When 350.org connect the dots they create a muddled picture. For clarity we need to remove the emotion and carefully consider reality.  They prefer the bogeymen of their imagination.


We do not have to buy into their delusion



Connect the dots below and you get a decreasing trend.


US severe tornadoes 12312011












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