It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Friday, December 22, 2017

Both Wrong




Things keep getting better and barring a smack by a super sized celestial object or an insane launch of nuclear weapons doomsday is not in our future. Whenever I encounter apocalyptic predictions my inclination is to take the opposite view. My record is perfect while the doomsayers have yet to score.

The predictions of the doomsayer have been populating the Hall of Fame of Failed Forecasts.

Despite the failures new doomsters are not deterred because ‘they know stuff’. Or think they do.

My unblemished record says they don’t know as much as they think they do. Apparently, Phds are no longer handed out with a direct line to the truth or a guarantee of fallibility.

Perhaps too often they are awarded to arrogant fools.

The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts -- Bertrand Russell  

Lord Salisbury: "No lesson seems to be so deeply inculcated by experience of life as that you should never trust experts. If you believe doctors, nothing is wholesome; if you believe theologians, nothing is innocent; if you believe soldiers, nothing is safe."

Wisdom permeates human history but it seems each generation must stumble upon it via their own ‘modern’ follies.


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