It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Monday, May 15, 2017

Changing Seas


Watching grass grow is an idiom used as an expression of boredom. Sea Level Rise(SLR) is even slower than growing grass. In the age of climate change perhaps we need to christen a new idiom. The three citations below lend credence to the leisurely pace of modern SLR.

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30 Scientific Papers Reveal Inverse CO2 – Sea Level Signal: As CO2 Rises, Sea Level Falls
By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, Aug 29, 2016

New Papers Confirm Sea Levels Aren’t Rising Fast Enough — Coastal Land Area Growing, Not Shrinking
By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, Sep 1, 2016

Rising seas, by decade [From Space]
By Staff Writers, Sea Level Change, No Date

[SEPP Comment: Dispute the statement: “…and the long term rise in global sea levels that is the result of human-caused warming.” Four hundred feet (120 meters) of long term rise in global sea levels occurred before man’s use of fossil fuels.]

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History can provide some historical perspective. CO2 was below 300 ppm during the period of most rapid SLR during the last 20,000 years. SLR has obviously decelerated over the last 8000 years and shows no sign of re-enacting the rapid rise of the early Holocene.

The point being that there is no way to distinguish between long term SLR due to natural variability and human causes, if any. Attribution of SLR to humans has no basis in reality.

Sea level rise is supposed to be an effect of global warming. As CO2 rises SLR should accelerate presumably because the AGW is melting the ice caps in Antarctica and Greenland. The links dispute that claim.

If there is no acceleration there is no human fingerprint. The surprising 30 papers in the first citation above disputes this relationship.

The second citation contradicts the whole idea of rising seas. How can land increase if the seas are rising? Doesn’t an increase in shorelines indicate a pull back of the seas or perhaps the sea floor is sinking?

Given these studies SLR no longer has the power to instil fear. No wonder coastal real estate is showing no Walmart rollback in prices. The well-being of RE agents is experiencing no threat from the sea. The asking price of beachfront property is not decreasing. If SLR were an imminent threat the value of coastal real estate would plummet to zero. Who would buy a property next to a sea that is rising so precipitously that the property would flood during their lifetime. Increasing property values indicate that SLR fears are not taken seriously by buyers. The rich and famous are not deterred from investing in coastal property.

The Miami coastline hasn’t changed much since it was wiped out by a hurricane in 1926.

Recently, this report appeared which may be unexpected by global warming alarmists.


The spectre of rising seas and flooded coastal cities today remains the forecast it was in 1934. Unrealized. We still await the deluge.

And while we await the deluge scientists have been discovering the resilience of corals to rising CO2 which has not been causing the oceans to acidify.

Science, the Basic Physics, is calming the fear around ocean response to rising CO2. The changing seas do not present a danger to human settlements.


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