It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Data Manipulation - The Story Not Told

If their pet theory falls apart due to the unexpected behaviour of the real world scientists should be expected to do science and either modify or abandon the theory. Manufacturing data to in its favor is not usually acceptable as a means of support.

The government agencies in charge of gathering and presenting the data should do so with the utmost regard for accuracy. Suspicion of alteration should be avoided with transparent practices and regular audits by outside non-partisan experts in auditing principles. Scientists need to be held accountable to the public for their work.

In the realm of climate science those charged with collecting the meteorological data on temperature, precipitation, pressure etc need oversight as the accusations of data tampering to support the theory of man made global warming have begun to surface around the world.


It is tough to construct a theory(model) that works if the data is designed to produce the result desired. It will soon become evident that the theory does not track reality. What then? More data tampering??

As discovered by ‘Steven Goddard’ meteorological data tampering was recognized as a potential problem as early as 1907.
With so much taxpayer money being thrown at the man made global warming falsifying for funding should be treated with the utmost seriousness so that the truth about the tampering and the state of the climate can be correctly determined and faced. If man made global warming is a manufactured myth it is best to know this and stop the enormous waste of resources that this has entailed. Let’s get back to science and not allow data tampering to spread as an incurable infestation of government coffers.
As Steven has found it is not just the BoM that is cooking the books NASA and NOAA in the US are altering historical records to produce the desired (warming) result they want. After preaching the catastrophic nature of climate change it would be very embarrassing to have to admit they were so wrong. Best to alter the data to produce desired results, save face and keep the funding flowing.
Or one can always try the following ruse to maintain the insanity.
There might be some true believers in the government who will push it with a straight face.
The need to publish past failed predictions far and wide is required to restrain the exuberance of those who think they know how to forecast the future. It also enlightens the public and how little the ‘experts’ really know so that we don’t put them on pedestals they don’t deserve.
Is it really surprising that we are still here? When it comes to scientific seers it is best to remember the words of a famous philosopher:
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts -- Bertrand Russell
President Eisenhower was aware of the problem and in his 1961 exit speech warned of the possibility that technological elites could capture the reins of government due to their specialised knowledge.
Climate science was not the correct discipline to use to try to capture power. The weather is something that all have an opinion about and it is difficult to hide the facts that you can see right out your window. In a supposedly ‘warming’ world it is difficult to hide harsh winters like those of 2012-2013 and 2013-2014. Growing ice in the polar regions can get in the way of humans traveling in those regions. Rescue of people trapped in ice is not evidence of an overheated world. Over 90% ice cover on the Great Lakes in 2013-2014 does not attract adherents to global warming theory.
To maintain a fiction in the face of contrary evidence does not serve science well nor the reputations of the scientists who refuse to acknowledge reality. It makes a mockery of science and creates cartoon characters out of scientists. “Expert’ becomes a term of derision, a boy crying wolf.
When scientists are asked for an opinion and they say such and such will happen if present trends continue reporters need to learn to ask them if they know whether the trend will continue. Scientists must be schooled to resist the temptation to assume the role of oracle and realize that their Phd does not come with a direct line to the truth nor a guarantee of infallibility. Mother Nature has issued recalls on all scientific crystal balls. No one knows the future except her and she is not talking. Those who ignore this conservative practice should expect the mocking satire that comes with failed prognostications. It is safer for scientists to say ‘this is what we think we know. Come back in 10 years to see if we still think the same’ than to elevate their opinion to that of a god. Humility and caution keep us grounded in reality. Certainty can lead to exaggeration and funding. Tough choice. Which would you choose?
"It is no secret that a lot of climate-change research is subject to opinion, that climate models sometimes disagree even on the signs of the future changes (e.g. drier vs. wetter future climate). The problem is, only sensational exaggeration makes the kind of story that will get politicians’ — and readers’ — attention. So, yes, climate scientists might exaggerate, but in today’s world, this is the only way to assure any political action and thus more federal financing to reduce the scientific uncertainty." ~ Monika Kopacz, atmospheric scientist






Was Suzuki Right?

"More than any other time in history, the 1990s will be a turning point for human civilization." ~ David Suzuki, 1990

I don’t think this is what he had in mind but global mean temperatures did stop rising toward the end of the 1990s. They went from rising to flat. Unfortunately for the climate models CO2 has continued to rise unabated thus short circuiting the potential preferred causal relation between the two.

"Humanity is facing a challenge unlike any we’ve ever had to confront. We are in an unprecedented period of change." ~ David Suzuki, 2011

Damn! Right again. Temps have been decreasing since 2002. We are going to have to come to terms with our botched science and redo the global climate models.

“All life on Earth is our kin. And in an act of generosity, our relatives create the four sacred elements for us.”..."We have become a force of nature...Not long ago, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, drought, forest fires, even earthquakes and volcanic explosions were accepted as "natural disasters or "acts of God."  But now, we have joined God, powerful enough to influence these events." ~ David Suzuki

Well, I wish he were correct. It would be nice to be able to stop volcanoes, earthquakes, tornadoes, hurricanes and the rest of the cast members of extreme weather. Tinkering with CO2 atmospheric concentration has been shown to be a fruitless endeavour, wishful thinking of the delusional kind.

Two out of three is not bad. Spurred on by his crystal ball of scientific accuracy Suzuki proposed a solution for deniers.


Since he was so wrong can we put David in the slammer for falsely impersonating a scientist?

David, missed the recall on his crystal ball. 

Quotes via c3headlines.com
 

Can They Tell I'm a Denier?

“It was terribly dangerous to let your thoughts wander when you were
in any public place or within range of a telescreen. The smallest
thing could give you away, a nervous tic, an unconscious look of
anxiety, a habit of muttering to yourself–anything that carried
with it the suggestion of abnormality, of having something to
hide. In any case, to wear an improper expression on your face…; was
itself a punishable offense” ~George Orwell 1984


Do they know I am denier? Should I worry?

Join the Pause

CO2 got tired of trapping the heat and stopped raising the global temperature 13+ years ago depending on the global temperature dataset used as your guide.

It would now appear that hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, drought and wildfires have also joined the pause.

Declining to pause and upsetting the cause the sea ice in Antarctica continues to increase. MIT scientists have confirmed that most of Antarctica has been cooling.

In the Arctic Santa need not worry about  an ice free North Pole this year(2014) contrary to the warning of Al Gore. Experts are so good at predicting what will happen in the Arctic that they have continued to revise their guesses about when the Arctic will be ice free. Could this be because they don’t really understand what is happening there and that it is not happening faster than anticipated?

Sea level rise has decelerated since 2002 according to the latest research.

And all this is in spite of the unrelenting increase in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. This is just not supposed to be happening.

The ‘settled science’ says so. This is the GHG theory of climate change that many accept as children who do not question the story of Santa Claus. Some will not want to give it up even in the face of evidence to the contrary. Some will feel cheated and angry that they were duped. The dupers will continue to look for children to fool. Political agendas need true believers.

These are enormous disconnects between fact and theory. Now, I don’t know how your mind works but mine concludes that the CO2 greenhouse gas theory of climate change is not a reliable guide to the future. It has been invalidated by Mother Nature who has the only opinion that counts for she is never wrong.

CO2 is clean and green. We owe CO2 an apology.

Monday, September 1, 2014

Wild Bill


~Bill McKibben

In light of the stasis in global mean temperature that has lasted for at least a decade and a half Bill sounds hysterical - in both senses of that word - funny and pathetic.

A person can become wilfully blind to reality when their whole life has become infused with and dependent upon a particular proposition. Bill seems a delusional character who sees only what he wants and needs to see.

Forever the spin. Spin to win, eh Bill?


And as if to cement his reputation as a delusional thinker, on cue Wild Bill comes along with this gem.


No, Bill. Some scientists long ago knew the CO2 GreenHouse theory was bogus. Now, Mother Nature has confirmed that finding with the temperature stasis among other data.       
               




Leaked Report

A new IPCC report has been leaked prior to the September meeting in NYC.


‘Leaked’ gives the impression that we shouldn’t be reading it yet because it is not the final version or it is the final version but we aren’t supposed to see it until it is officially released.

We can only hope that it isn’t the final version and that by some miraculous return to reality the IPCC will recognize the stupidity and exaggeration present in their report of impending climate disaster.

How can a lack of warming over the prior 15 years despite an unabated increase in CO2  be cause for hand wringing? If nothing is happening when it was expected to be ’worse than we thought’ and ‘happening faster than we predicted’ perhaps it is time to pause, rejoice and actually figure out what is going on?



Climate Experts Wrong Again

But the science is settled and it is worse than we thought. Here is a 2009 story from the Guardian warning us that temperatures will warm faster than predicted over the next five years.


Below are the results for the five year period 2009-2013 presented using the NOAA global temperature database on Sept. 1, 2014.  

I don’t know how your brain works but mine concludes that those who purport to know how the climate behaves don’t know what they are talking about. My mind concludes that it is more difficult to model the climate in our non-linear chaotic atmosphere than alarmist climate scientists would like to admit. Has CO2 lost its heat trapping ability? Or is that CO2 feature so negligible as to be meaningless or so weak that it can easily be nullified by other natural climate factors that the experts have overlooked?



NOAA 2009 2014 trend.jpeg

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