It is no longer global warming because it isn't.

It is climate change because it does.

Men are never so likely to settle a question rightly as when they discuss it freely.

— Thomas B. Macaulay (1800-1859), Essay on Southey's Colloquies

All of us could take a lesson from the weather. It pays no attention to criticism.


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Wednesday, January 22, 2014

I Don't Know

Volcano by Jimmy Buffett

Chorus

Now i don't know
I don't know
I don't know where i'm a gonna go
When the volcano blow

Perhaps this should be the theme song of politicians who listen to the climate scientists who don’t know.


McCarthy: 'I just look at what the climate scientists tell me.'  Ah, which ones, Gina? You pick wrong.

Even the scientists don’t know! Nothing like a baffled scientist to inspire confidence that they know what they are talking about.


Arnie doesn’t know.


Sure, Arnie. We love to take the advice of people like one-sheet Sheryl Crow and ‘outdoor pooping is awesome’ Drew Barrymore.

Actors aren’t getting through because:


Where Arnie gonna go when the false CAGW volcano blow?

Now POTUS don’t know...


Why the temperature rise go slow...

So who do know? Maybe the Telegraph know.


Oops! The CAGW volcano done blow cause Nature now know!

Wednesday, January 15, 2014

The Northern Mocking Word

Early December 2013



As the Northern Hemisphere shivers under a pre-winter cold spell provided by our CO2 laden supercharged overheated polar air mass on steroids descending from the Arctic the polar mocking word: cold,  seems to be an apt symbol to represent the finger that Mother Nature is elevating toward the blind proponents of the mythical theory of human induced global warming(AGW). To speak about global warming amid freezing temperatures is to impugn the reputation of CO2 as a heat trapping gas and to ignore Mother Nature’s message that she controls temperature.

As CO2 has continued to rise unabated in the atmosphere due to our burning of fossil fuels to keep us warm temperatures in the 21st century have slipped into negative rise. This is a direct disconnect between fact and theory. When this happens and we hate it when it does science says: modify or abandon the theory. Something else is driving the vehicle.

Supporters of AGW have received some more bad news from satellite measurements of sea level rise. SLR has shown no acceleration over the last two decades. There is even evidence of a deceleration in the rise. This should put to rest the fear over melting polar regions flooding coastal cities.

The pre-winter of 2013 is mocking the theory of AGW with record cold and snow in the Northern Hemisphere. The august IPCC used to think their theory predicted warming winters which actually makes sense if it were true but after several Northern Hemisphere winters of extraordinary cold and snow with December 2012 culminating in a record snow extent the IPCC is now claiming that the excess heat is causing the excess snow. In a warming world we should be getting less snow and more rain, n’est-ce pas? The AGW proponents are mocking their own theory or changing it on the fly to ‘save’ it. Nothing like moving the goalposts to frustrate the other team.

These two stories add fuel to the AGW death spiral.



The Arctic air mass is invading countries known for their deserts, like Israel, Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia. It is sucking the heat out of the air and sending it where? Does our atmosphere vent? Can’t CO2 stop the exodus of heat?

In the pre-winter of 2013 the Northern Mocking Word is pooping on AGW theory and overcoming the heat trapping superpowers of CO2 with ease. Does CO2 only trap heat in the summer?
Mother Nature fooled climate scientists once back in the 1970s when people were told that a new ice age was coming because the temperatures were cooling. The world then began to warm and climate scientists jumped on the warming bandwagon. This time they found something to blame it all on - us. And Mother Nature has switched gears again demonstrating the validity of those scientists who realized that she is in control and that her patterns are cyclical driven by the harmonic interplay of several natural cycles including solar, oceanic and astronomical.

Meanwhile the southern polar region of Antarctica is demonstrating the growing hold that cold is having on the world. Its sea ice extent is setting records and its ice sheet is growing. The heat trapping abilities of CO2 are being overcome by the natural cyclical processes of Mother Nature despite our power plants and SUVs.

The theory of CO2 induced global warming is supposed to produce more drought just like the global cooling of the 1970s. The summer burn season of 2013 has seen the charred acreage run way below the ten year mean. The expectations, predictions and hopes of the global warming crowd have been dashed on the rocks of reality.

How does the heat of summer escape if CO2 is trapping it? Doesn’t heat rise? Think hot air balloon. Perhaps the Earth is just a side trip for the sun’s energy on its way into outer space. And we should be thankful for that.




Friday, January 10, 2014

Settled Science?



Settled Science? Don’t know, just asking. There are lots of conflicting scientific opinions. Makes it confusing for the layperson.



Same guy 6 years later. Hedging his bets?



or just catching up to these guys? Don’t know. Just asking.


Who decides if not Mother Nature?

If she is not sending MAJOR(cat 3,4,5) hurricanes our way to make landfall in the US for 8 years then she is not sending MAJOR hurricanes our way and the weather/climate can NOT be said to be getting more extreme, can it?. Why isn’t it that simple? (a similar exercise could be done for other extreme weather types)

Here is the dataset bought and paid for by the US taxpayer.

Should we be afraid of that data or embrace it?

We have been told that:

The energy of 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day is how much energy imbalance the earth is absorbing because of global warming. This imbalance was explained by Dr. James Hansen, one of the world's foremost climate scientists at the TED Conference in Long Beach, California

We are told that we are ‘supercharging’ our atmosphere and putting it ‘on steroids’.

And yet despite this vast energy imbalance now the worst year for hurricanes making landfall in the US was 1886. You have the dataset. Check it out. Two of them were MAJORS. We all agree that it was colder then and that there was less than 300 ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere at that time. Does it ever make you wonder what the atmosphere was ‘on’ back in the day when that record occurred? And why wasn’t that record broken during the ‘hottest decade ever’ with the highest level of CO2 concentration seen in x thousand years? Could it be that CO2 is not as powerful a driver of climate as we have been led to believe?

A similar exercise could be done for other examples of extreme weather/climate.

The IPCC says, in their AR5 SPM, that they are 95% (a change from 90% in AR4 2007) certain that humans are at fault for contemporary global warming/climate change even as they reduce the lower bound of their estimated range for climate sensitivity (CS) to 1.5C from the 2.0C they used in their AR4 2007 report while leaving the upper bound stuck at 4C. That means the range has widened in AR5 which means that they are less certain of the results they present in AR5. Can we all share a chuckle at how less certain has become more certain? And why did they do that? If they didn’t say they were 95% certain they would almost certainly (95%?) be signing their own pink slips. Imagine if they actually said what they meant or meant what they said and informed the world that they are less certain of their results now than they were in 2007. After billions and billions were spent on their climate models. The IPCC is the new magic act on the world stage. Now you see less certain and now you don’t. Voila! Apparently 1984 has arrived at the IPCC. Less certain is more certain. They actually mean to say that they are more certain they are less certain. Clear?

Here is a list of some recent research into climate sensitivity some of which occurred after the AR5 cutoff date. The 1.5C mentioned above may turn out to be too high according to reality. Do we have to wait another 6 years for the IPCC to revise their estimates downward again?


And what of the climate models? They operate on algorithms that produce warming as CO2 increases. Only problem is someone forgot to inform Mother Nature about the algorithm and she slipped them a curve which the models failed to anticipate and they fell off the catwalk. Billions and billions for models that don’t work. Can we all share a wince or a Bart Simpson Doh! over that one?

Has the starring role accorded to CO2 in the climate drama been miscast such that CO2 would be better placed in a bit part or perhaps not be included in the cast at all?

What to do? Disband the IPCC and stop all the unnecessary efforts to reduce human CO2 emissions. It was all based on a false theory.

We owe CO2 an apology.



Monday, December 30, 2013

The Debate is Over


So said Al Gore while expressing his opinion on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) around 2006

And because it is over Al won’t debate. The refusal to debate is evidence of a weak case.

If your case is strong you would welcome the opportunity to demonstrate that in front of the largest audience possible so that people can see the strength of your argument against the weakness of your opponent’s objections.

The avoidance of debate is pursued to deny your opponents a forum in which to show the weakness of your case. You want to keep their objections away from the public because you know your case is weak.

But, Al, you are correct. The debate is over.





Friday, December 27, 2013

Confusion in the Ranks



So, who is correct? John Kerry a non-scientist who is presumably getting his information from the IPCC or the IPCC who ignores their own science reports and links a typhoon to global warming? This is really the IPCC battling with itself. Has Kerry read the AR5 SPM and remembers the following conclusion?  

“Low confidence” that damaging increases will occur in either drought or tropical cyclone activity (SPM-23, Table SPM.1).

In other words, man made climate change has not affected tropical cyclone frequency or intensity.

But Kerry has drunk the man made climate change kool-aid as he offers aid to Vietnamese farmers and fishermen to combat climate change. Kerry believes CC is real even though individual events can’t be linked to CO2. Apparently, the 4-7 inches of sea level rise expected by 2100 is too much adaptation for the Vietnamese to manage by themselves. Whether the Vietnamese farmers and fishermen believe in man made climate change or not for $17 million of US taxpayer money they are willing to buy into the meme. You can buy as much agreement as you are willing to pay for. Mother Nature stopped raising the global mean temperature 17 years ago. No doubt Kerry feels no remorse at the expenditure of US taxpayer money to perpetuate a delusion.

'Kerry pledged $17 million to a program that will help the region's rice producers, shrimp and crab farmers and fisherman adapt to potential changes caused by higher sea levels that bring salt water into the delicate ecosystem.'

UHI stands for the Urban Heat Island effect. Back in 1989, the year after James Hansen declared the climate change games open, US data did not show any warming.


And yet back in 1907 scientists seemed to be quite aware of UHI  See the link above.       

Mr Hansen couldn’t explain the missing heat that was predicted to arise from the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere back in 1989 when US data did not show any upward trend in temperature.


Climate scientists 25 years later are once again looking for the missing heat that has been promised by their global climate models.


Perhaps because climate change is cyclical and CO2 has nothing to do with it?
       
               












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