The responses to this article take the temperature of 2012 feelings regarding CAGW. My own contribution follows.
Rose, look up the predictions that were made on the first Earth Day,
1970. How many would you say came true? And some were made by Phds. You
will love the one about global cooling. Here is just one:
"Demographers
agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975
widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to
include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the
year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist
under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the
entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and
Australia, will be in famine."
• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University
Lucky us.
Conventional wisdom in 1970? Settled science in 1970? Consensus in 1970?
Or BS: Bad Science
As Yogi said: The future ain't what it used to be.
Sometimes
scientists over estimate their knowledge. Or is it that some are
particularly good at self delusion like Harold Camping? Bearing in mind
that we are still here: how many predictions of calamity do you know
that have come true? We love to scare ourselves to death. It is an MSM
game.
One day we will be laughing at CAGW predictions too. I
think my kids are safe from CO2 but probably not from scientists who
make fearful forecasts.
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