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Wednesday, March 21, 2012

In Response to Rose Murphy

The responses to this article take the temperature of  2012 feelings regarding CAGW.  My own contribution follows.

Rose, look up the predictions that were made on the first Earth Day, 1970. How many would you say came true? And some were made by Phds. You will love the one about global cooling. Here is just one:

"Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine."
• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

Lucky us.
Conventional wisdom in 1970? Settled science in 1970? Consensus in 1970?
Or BS: Bad Science

As Yogi said: The future ain't what it used to be.

Sometimes scientists over estimate their knowledge. Or is it that some are particularly good at self delusion like Harold Camping? Bearing in mind that we are still here: how many predictions of calamity do you know that have come true? We love to scare ourselves to death. It is an MSM game.

One day we will be laughing at CAGW predictions too. I think my kids are safe from CO2 but probably not from scientists who make fearful forecasts.

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