Having more fun with consensus - Arctic Sea Ice

The sea ice is still there in the summer but that hasn't detracted from the propensity of scientists to weigh in with their august opinions on when we will see an ice free Arctic. Could be any year now....

Maybe even this summer - 2012...

We are glad to see that the science is settled until the next prognostication... can you say Harold Camping?

Google "Arctic to be ice free by" and wade through the 750,000,000 hits (as of Feb 24, 2012) to see if there is a consensus among Ice Free Arctic predictors. Take your time. We'll wait. The first few pages of hits ought to convince you that there is no consensus and that some predictive years have already passed without an ice free Arctic materializing. So, who knows? Well, apparently nobody. Note the 'mays' and 'coulds' included in most of the predictions. The science is not settled and the predictions of the learned might as well be based on a crystal ball at this point in history.

Here is news on the Arctic meltdown throughout the 20th century. We are still waiting for sea levels to rise and flood coastal cities  from all the warming that was going on during the last century.

Scientists do themselves and the public a disservice when they delude themselves into believing they know more than they do. Someday the Arctic may be ice free as it has in the past. We survived. Acuna matata.